WNW movement of Jeanne?

[seahawkjd]

Not trying to get into the wobblecasting thing but is Jeanne now moving just north of due west or is it an illusion of the eye? It looks like for the past several sat images it has steadily gained just a bit of latitude

[Doc Seminole]

Looks like it to me!!!!!!!

[storms NC]

just looked and seem that way to me too. But we will see

[windwatcher]

Could it be that the high is builing too much to the east thus blocking it, causing an erratic wnw movement? If that is the case, maybe the cane will get held up and not make it to the coast after all? But I did notice some of the models picking up on that, and trying to move it to the west later in the day, staying tuned.

[miamijaaz]

The last few frames sure look that way, but I don't think its a true direction of movement. The latest water vapor image loop shows the high coming down on top of her like a jackhammer. I don't think we will have any true northward movement for at least the next day or so (and perhaps two days), given her present speed.

[logybogy]

yeah that high is really strong, i wouldn't be surprised to see a southern component come into play either.

[miamijaaz]

Here's a great loop of the high:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html

[seahawkjd]

Watching the weather channel's track for the last couple of hours its moving wnw at the moment, but yeah that high is nice and visible too on the water vapor. Guess its going to come down to a game of wobbles or inches on where it makes land fall.

[cape_escape]

Here's a great loop of the high:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html

I have a question, I know it's probably stupid, but, I'm still learning ... On the loop, the trail of clouds, off of the left side of Jeanne, seem to be going up and between th brown areas and into SC, does that have any indication as to Jeanne possibly following that same course?

[Sanibel]

No doubt the eye wants to resolve that as a more north landfall, if at all.

There's a High over Florida as well as one over the Atlantic. Perhaps this slight WNW veer is in reaction to the seam between the 2 Highs? If so it is possible the Florida High hasn't gripped it yet, sending it more west...

[Guest]

Its interesting to note that some models actually show this initial W/NW movement & then it goes back to the west & even W/SW for a short time.

Lets see what plays out.

[Kiern]

Its interesting to note that some models actually show this initial W/NW movement & then it goes back to the west & even W/SW for a short time.

Lets see what plays out.

Bingo. The models are in pretty good agreement as well with this.

[cswitwer]

Here's a great loop of the high:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html

I have a question, I know it's probably stupid, but, I'm still learning ... On the loop, the trail of clouds, off of the left side of Jeanne, seem to be going up and between th brown areas and into SC, does that have any indication as to Jeanne possibly following that same course?

Cape_escape, I don't think that's a stupid question at all. I asked myself the same thing (though self really doesn't know much, I still asked).

I don't know how it works, but even if that were the case, there is still a lot of movement and I think that the brown areas (which someone called a seam between highs) will continue to move over the next few days.

See, now I sound like I don't know what I'm talking about. Did it make sense to you tho?

chris

[Sanibel]

If you run that WV loop you'll see things are starting to zip across the CONUS in fall-like fashion.

Maybe this will resolve into a straight Carolina recurve with no Florida contact...

[cswitwer]

Bite your tongue!

[cape_escape]

Here's a great loop of the high:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html

I have a question, I know it's probably stupid, but, I'm still learning ... On the loop, the trail of clouds, off of the left side of Jeanne, seem to be going up and between th brown areas and into SC, does that have any indication as to Jeanne possibly following that same course?

Cape_escape, I don't think that's a stupid question at all. I asked myself the same thing (though self really doesn't know much, I still asked).

I don't know how it works, but even if that were the case, there is still a lot of movement and I think that the brown areas (which someone called a seam between highs) will continue to move over the next few days.

See, now I sound like I don't know what I'm talking about. Did it make sense to you tho?

chris

Chris, thank you for replying! Yes, it did make sense, alott!

[cswitwer]

Cape, See Sanibel's 1:18post, tho.

[cape_escape]

Cape, See Sanibel's 1:18post, tho.

What's it titled? I'll look for it thanks!

[guanaskip]

Don't bite your tongue. Everybody gets ONE before some of us get two or three. Fair is fair.

[Sanibel]

It's pretty simple. If it turns more west again after this WNW veer it will give us more winds. I doubt we will see any eye center pass over us here off the SW coast...