This is the craziest model plot I've ever seen!

#1 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:04 am

Talk about spaghetti!!!!

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/cyclone/AL112004.gif

huricanwatcher · #2 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:05 am

is it coming or going.?? strange

#3 Postby **mascpa** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:06 am

Initial position looks way off to me.

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:07 am

Hmm... Oh... K..? lol

#5 Postby **Cookiely** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:08 am

This is the computers way of saying "I don't know where she's going, and don't ask me again because I've been overworked lately and I am having a nervous breakdown."

#6 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:09 am

Yea....and they can actually make a forecast track off of that.

#7 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:09 am

x-y-no · #8 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:09 am

mascpa wrote:Initial position looks way off to me.

Yeah, what's going on with that? She's on the coast of DR, not in the Turks & Caicos.

#9 Postby **Canelaw99** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:11 am

Anybody got some meatballs???? :lol:

#10 Postby **Mattie** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:20 am

Remember the song? Where do we go from here, now that all of our *models* are so confused . . .

(original lyrics altered of course)

FLAgirl · #11 Postby **FLAgirl** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:24 am

I think there is something terribly wrong with the computer models. I don't think at this point anyone should use them to base a forecast on Jeanne. This may sound paranoid, but I wonder if someone has sabatoged them in some way. May I'm just weary from all the hurricane stuff, but does anyone else think that sabatoge is possible?

bahamaswx · #12 Postby **bahamaswx** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:32 am

FLAgirl wrote:I think there is something terribly wrong with the computer models. I don't think at this point anyone should use them to base a forecast on Jeanne. This may sound paranoid, but I wonder if someone has sabatoged them in some way. May I'm just weary from all the hurricane stuff, but does anyone else think that sabatoge is possible?

No.

snoopj · #13 Postby **snoopj** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:08 pm

Honestly, these model computers should just spit a "Divide by 0" error message and get it over with.

--snoopj

#14 Postby **hurricanemike** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:10 pm

the models are in the right location but the land masses arent.

#15 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:15 pm

Is Scott playing with our mind?????????

Or more likely has hurricane season played with his!!!!!

Gotta love him,

Lynn

cswitwer · #16 Postby **cswitwer** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:18 pm

FLAGirl,

I don't think there's anything wrong with the models... I think it's the STORMS that are just totally messed up this year! There's just no way to use numbers to predict what these crazy little monsters are up to!

Now, why and how they became so crazy is another story -- and one that I can't answer. Perhaps we'll figure something out as the season goes on.

I was thinking for a while that global warming and the rising sea temperatures might be involved, but I was only looking at 20 years of storms so there's not much inference to make there. We could go back far enough to show statistically significant global trends-- but we weren't able to watch and monitor storms like we are now so there's not much data. In 1900, the meteorologists in Galveston thought the Gulf was too shallow for hurricanes. And in 1950 we weren't able to watch crazy loppy tracks out in the Atlantic like we are now. So it's hard to tell what's happening, but I have faith somebody somewhere will figure it out... someday!

#17 Postby **DelrayMorris** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 1:12 pm

Does... not... compute...

HurricaneGirl · #18 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 1:17 pm

Oh MY!! We could get a better forecast using a Magic 8 Ball.

stormie_skies · #19 Postby **stormie_skies** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 1:24 pm

Hmmm....so this is what a model map on drugs looks like.... :lol:

KG4HPN · #20 Postby **KG4HPN** » Fri Sep 17, 2004 1:28 pm

I think I remember hearing when the models for Ivan started during that crazy loopdey-loo stuff that it means the models are seeing a stall...

-Jet

This is the craziest model plot I've ever seen!

This is the craziest model plot I've ever seen!

Who is online