Good news regarding Jeanne

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hesperhys
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
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Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:33 pm
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#41 Postby hesperhys » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:14 pm

As MIA_canetrakker indicates, the 10K peaks in Hispaniola do seem to be south of Jeanne's observed track... if the mtns she has traversed so far really are actually much lower, does this affect the forecast...?
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Sanibel
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#42 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:34 pm

Absolutely. Anyone watching this cyclone would see a real little zinger of a fiesty hurricane is not wanting to lose out to Hispaniola.

I don't know why Jeanne's energy is spread out behind her like synoptic shearing. What ever the case, Jeanne is bursting out in deep reds while being inhibited by land. This is a red-flag for potential strength.

I am reading this strange movement as a combination of being caught in a halfway junction between a strong steering ridge above and weak tropical currents below and land interaction.

If Jeanne jumps up she'll probably curve more north. A skimming of the north shores of the Antilles doesn't bode well for SW Florida in case she does a Donna-like hook around the underside of the peninsula...
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