Ivan Crow Feast - I'll share

[HollynLA]

I predicted landfall in Pascagoula, MS which of course is wrong so a big heaping serving of crow for me. Anyone else? Also, did anyone exactly predict landfall?

[Cookiely]

I picked Naples and the last week Destin. The damage is so much worse than I expected. The storm surge is unreal. I guess my mind can't fathom water and waves to a 4th floor building.

[chris_fit]

i picked central FL between naples and big bend area

http://www.aboutmylife.net/users/chris_fit

pass the crow

[Sanibel]

Well, yes, I got lucky I guess. On another board, on september 8th, a poster asked me where I thought it would go (while it was still in the mid-Caribbean) and I said "between Louisiana and Pensacola as a strong category 3"...

- Nailed it...

[tracyswfla]

Yup, I picked Naples as well. Dish up the crow, I hear it tastes like chicken!

[LaPlaceFF]

For dessert.....humble pie!!!

[tronbunny]

i picked central FL between naples and big bend area

http://www.aboutmylife.net/users/chris_fit

pass the crow

I was with chris_fit. Although, I had an inkling that Derek Orrt had a good handle.
I guess I just wanted to buck the system, so I split the diff, and called "the big bend".

I see we can have a side of spaghetti with that crow.

[tdess02]

I said the LA coast. Wrong but not bad cosidering the poll was taken when Ivan was still in the Carribean. Look how many times the NHC changed the track before landfall. Their first track had it going into South Florida. Also, parts of LA did get hurricane force winds and tidal flooding. I give myself a B+.

[hurricanefreak1988]

Hey I picked New Orleans as a sleeper pick when nobody else did. Like 2 weeks ago in fact. Even though Ivan didn't make landfall there I was sure as heck close huh

[vbhoutex]

I originally picked Destin from the start and then moved it West to the NHC track late yesterday.

Someone has been saying Orange Beach for about a week. THEY NAILED IT ON THE HEAD!!!!!!

[GalvestonDuck]

I predicted landfall in Pascagoula, MS which of course is wrong so a big heaping serving of crow for me. Anyone else? Also, did anyone exactly predict landfall?

Ditto here.

[Aquawind]

Yesss... Love to see you Naples pickers chewing crow...LOL

Even NHC had us in blasting range for about 36 hours..whew..

This is a great spectator sport..participation sux..

[dhead]

HollynLA,
PASCAGOULA MISS. had been my big guess since last FRIDAY, too.
I'm not particularly upset at being wrong, however.

[tracyswfla]

Yesss... Love to see you Naples pickers chewing crow...LOL

Even NHC had us in blasting range for about 36 hours..whew..

This is a great spectator sport..participation sux..

True Aqua! I am glad I was wrong!

[Frank P]

I pick New Orleans or Mobile, but I also said that I really was leaning to the Mobile scenario, and perhaps 25 miles to the east of Mobile... I posted this on the board 11 or so days ago... I think I might have hit it pretty darn close... I also said it would go thru the Keys, so I missed on that point, still 25 miles east of Mobile 11 days out.... NOT TO BAD.... and it also scared the living you know what out of New Orleans too, even though it didn't hit... so I should get points for that as well... I was using the Canadian as one of my primary tools in the analysis, it was always left of the other models on Ivan.... and 11 or so days out it out performed all other models .. . IMO

I rode out the Ivan on the front beach in Biloxi, we probably got 60-70 mph N gusts at max.... tides were about 3-5 feet above normal... I didn't even have one shingle blow off.... but one thing, I was intensly monitoring the storm and if it would have gotten past 88.5 longitude, I would have evacuated off the beach, even though I'm 20 feet above sea level, the thought of 140 mph winds were sickening.... my bags were packed and I was ready to go.... I'll ride out a weak Cat 3, but anything greater...... as they say in the crescent city... I'm a gone pecan...

[ColdFront77]

No one should be eating crow. The initial guesses weren't totally off and some of those that mentioned a location felt like sticking with it, while others moved to another, along the Gulf coast.

In my opinion (and I am either in the minority; or the extreme minority...[I assume only me] who thinks "we were all generally right".

The official forecast track from computer model guidance and The National Hurricane Center's official forecast tracks changed just as much than all that made a public and non-public forecast.

I understand it's all in fun, but still.

[CaptinCrunch]

I went with Gulfport, MS and Cat 4

[cajungal]

I correctly predicted that it would go south of Jamaica, south of Grand Cayman, and skirt the western tip of Cuba. And I predicted that Louisiana (especially New Orleans) would be under the gun with the westerly movement. But, knew all along that we would not actually get hit. I knew it would be a close call and it would turn east at the last minute. About 12 hours away from landfall I predicted Gulf Shores, Alabama.

[JQ Public]

I predicted Gulfport, Mississippi for a strike when Ivan had just gone through Grenada in the Place your bets thread. Thats the only prediction i made and i was wrong but not by much. Must add that I am not a met just made a big guess.

[MBryant]

I guess I get the largest helpin of crow since I picked Nicaragua.