TD 12 is forming, advisoring likely being initiated at 5 PM

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HURAKAN
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TD 12 is forming, advisoring likely being initiated at 5 PM

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:29 am

Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on September 16, 2004


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ivan...located about 65 miles west-southwest of Montgomery
Alabama...and on Hurricane Jeanne...located 80 miles east-northeast
of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.
Satellite images and ship reports indicate that a tropical
depression is forming about about 525 miles southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands. Advisories will likely be initiated this afternoon
on this system.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Friday.
Forecaster Franklin
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Canelaw99
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#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:31 am

Well, of course! We have to have at least 2 storms to be watching in the Atlantic at all times this season! LOL
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#3 Postby Windy » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:33 am

I always read about "ship reports" and think of those crazy bastards who steer their rigs through these storms. What a life that must be!
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#4 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:34 am

Geez... :eek:
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#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:44 am

Windy....

"A statistical-synoptic model, SHIPS (Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme ), has been available to the National Hurricane Center since the mid-1990s (DeMaria and Kaplan 1994). It takes current and forecasted information on the synoptic scale on the sea surface temperatures, vertical shear, moist stability, etc. with an optimal combination of the trends in the cyclone intensity."
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#6 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:46 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Windy....

"A statistical-synoptic model, SHIPS (Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme ), has been available to the National Hurricane Center since the mid-1990s (DeMaria and Kaplan 1994). It takes current and forecasted information on the synoptic scale on the sea surface temperatures, vertical shear, moist stability, etc. with an optimal combination of the trends in the cyclone intensity."


windy isnt talking about the SHIPS model he is talking ocean vessels that report back weather conditions on the high seas.
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#7 Postby abajan » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:46 am

Anyone knows where this future TD is likely to be heading?

Fish or monster?
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#8 Postby jpigott » Thu Sep 16, 2004 10:47 am

hopefully a monster fish :)
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#9 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:30 am

Hmm.. Perhaps another 1 to try to brush up on my forecasting expertise..
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#10 Postby Ola » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:30 am

abajan wrote:Anyone knows where this future TD is likely to be heading?

Fish or monster?


So far it does not look like a threat, but this season every system has moved left of what the models predict so... lets watch it

Image
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#11 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:31 am

Looks like everything but the extrapolate thinks it'll be a fishy lol..
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#12 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:38 am

Well we are at the heart of the hurricane season.

<RICKY>
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#13 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:39 am

LOL that we are..
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#14 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:50 am

I'm hoping for a fish. :)
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#15 Postby Scorpion » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:51 am

Looks like its a fish. Lisa might be coming up too soon.
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#16 Postby rainstorm » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:05 pm

i beg god to sent it out to sea
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#17 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:07 pm

Scorpion wrote:Looks like its a fish. Lisa might be coming up too soon.


here's all 3...
Image
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