Jeanne will be history

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boca
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Jeanne will be history

#1 Postby boca » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:46 am

On long range radar it looks like she's moving due west bye bye.
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Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:48 am

Yea, but there are few mountains that side of the coast. But Im sure the outflow will get messed up, and she might emerge as a TD or just dissipate if she continues the path.
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x-y-no
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:53 am

Way too early to write her off.

First of all, the mountains are mostly in the central part of the island, she's nowhere near them yet.

Second, her course is definitely slightly north of due west, although it does appear that it is not so far north of west as to follow the coast at this point. Still it may be northerly enough that she avoids much interaction with the larger mountains.
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rbaker

#4 Postby rbaker » Thu Sep 16, 2004 9:03 am

seen storms come in this way and reorganize off the north coast or reform a new center off coast if prior circulation center gets disrupted by mountains over hispanola
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kevin

#5 Postby kevin » Thu Sep 16, 2004 9:12 am

Doesn't matter that the mountains are in the center. They are high and expansive. They should cause the outflow/inflow to be distrupted and a slow death for Jeane.
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#6 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 16, 2004 9:31 am

kevin wrote:Doesn't matter that the mountains are in the center. They are high and expansive. They should cause the outflow/inflow to be distrupted and a slow death for Jeane.


I'm not saying that can't happen. Just saying one can't conclude at this point that it will happen. I don't think there's any doubt she'll weaken today. But if she follows the coast more or less, I expect she'll emerge as a weak to middling tropical storm and have adequate opportunity to intensify afterwards.
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melhow
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Re: Jeanne will be history

#7 Postby melhow » Thu Sep 16, 2004 9:32 am

boca wrote:On long range radar it looks like she's moving due west bye bye.


maybe it was the run-on sentence but for some reason this makes me laugh ha ha.
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