Jeanne models shifting

[seannymac]

Is it me, or do you all see the computer models slowly shifting Westerly? A few days ago they all had this storm staying far from the US. Now it seems to be inching closer and closer with every new model run.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Is it me, or do you all see the computer models slowly shifting Westerly? A few days ago they all had this storm staying far from the US. Now it seems to be inching closer and closer with every new model run.

link please...thank-you!

[Innotech]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

[seannymac]

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... model.html

[indiboxer]

The Accuweather forecast is really scary. I trust the NHC more then Accuweather, but I don't like what I see.

[Rainband]

One model takes it to florida, look for a trend before you get concerned

[wzrgirl1]

indi...where in pembroke pines are you.....I am in Silver Lakes

[Ground_Zero_92]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

We got your point in the last seven threads where you posted the same thing.

[caneman]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

Don't be so sure.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

We got your point in the last seven threads where you posted the same thing.

DITTO!

[jlauderdal]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

where is the hurricane death zone? please enlighten me.

thanks,
jlauderdal

[Windy]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

where is the hurricane death zone? please enlighten me.

thanks,
jlauderdal

It's Hispanola. Innotech thinks if he chants "die, die, die!" enough, Jeanne will crash into the mountains of Hispanola and die. While I hope he is right, he seems a little optimistic, to say the least, given the observations and models.

[jlauderdal]

yeah, west into hurricane death zone.

where is the hurricane death zone? please enlighten me.

thanks,
jlauderdal

It's Hispanola. Innotech thinks if he chants "die, die, die!" enough, Jeanne will crash into the mountains of Hispanola and die. While I hope he is right, he seems a little optimistic, to say the least, given the observations and models.

thanks windy...i thought the death zone was the east central carribean...guess you learn something everyday.

thanks

[rbaker]

why does everyone keep playing this model game, everytime one comes out. Its like the doom of gloom, and then 6 hrs later when they move it further west or north, everyone gets their dandruff up and say "oh oh its heading right for me 5 days out". Its ridoulous to speculate as we have just seen with ivan. Granted its opinions on here, but let us not get wild, with this margin of area that could go from nc all the way to the keys. Thats over a 800 mile coridor.

[x-y-no]

Well if we're not supposed to discuss the models and whatever we think may be happening in the long range, what the heck are we all doing on a tropical weather discussion board?

[Lebowsky]

That's true, if you don't talk about where the storm is going to go on a weather site then there isn't much to talk about.

I think the longer-term forecasts are relevant because in Florida if you are going to evacuate, you have to evacuate very early.

Where I live we were totally out of gasoline several days before Ivan's landfall was clear, people panic.

[NFLnut]

That's true, if you don't talk about where the storm is going to go on a weather site then there isn't much to talk about.

I think the longer-term forecasts are relevant because in Florida if you are going to evacuate, you have to evacuate very early.

Where I live we were totally out of gasoline several days before Ivan's landfall was clear, people panic.

You were out of gas because two major Hurricanes had run through the Peninsula in two-and-a-half weeks. A rarity. With Ivan approaching the west coast, people panicked and bought up all of the available gas before the ports were reopened to tankers after Frances.

It's important that people stay tuned, but not overreact. While there is nothing wrong with people topping off their tanks and gas cans over the next few weeks until this season thankfully will come to a close, it is important that people try to resume somewhat of a normal lifestyle.

[Downdraft]

That area of the eastern Caribbean is littered with the names of hurricanes that didn't make it through. Remember Debbie? Those mountains rip storms to shreds. I'm not even thinking about this storm unless it survives the area. Bigger, badder and stronger storms than this never made it through not sure this little one will either.

[Josephine96]

The storm uis supposed to re-emerge over the water.. Even if she does weaken.. she'll come back

[Tempest]

The degree of panic is directly related to how recently the area got hit by a major hurricane...as time goes on the population becomes more oblivious to preparation.

As for the models - human nature seems to focus on the ONE strand that falls in one's area creating a feeling that everyone between Miami and the outer banks is certain that a hurricane is headed to their front doorstep!
I don't pay too much attention to the models this far out...when they all line up to the same place is when I get nervous.