KARL??

#2 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 5:44 am

I KNEW IT.... it is a conspiracy!!!!!LOL

southerngale · #3 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 5:51 am

charleston_hugo_veteran - I'm gonna knock you into next week. :lol:

NO KARL....please!!

We need a break! :eek:

#4 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 6:05 am

southerngale wrote:charleston_hugo_veteran - I'm gonna knock you into next week. NO KARL....please!!

We need a break!

Sorry !!

Thunder44 · #5 Postby **Thunder44** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 6:07 am

Looks like from the 5:30am TWO we will have Karl soon:

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING ABOUT ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL
BE INITIATED LATER TODAY.

wxwatcher2 · #6 Postby **wxwatcher2** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 6:31 am

So Charelston Hugo Veteran.

repeat after me.

There IS no Karl
There IS no Karl
There IS no Karl
There IS no Karl

do this for at least 24 hours until you understand
There IS no Karl

#7 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 6:34 am

wxwatcher2 wrote:So Charelston Hugo Veteran.

repeat after me.

There IS no Karl
There IS no Karl
There IS no Karl
There IS no Karl

do this for at least 24 hours until you understand
There IS no Karl

I didn't say there was, this little sign (?) means a question on IF Karl will form....o.k.....and Charelston is spelled CHARLESTON

krisj · #8 Postby **krisj** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:50 am

Of course we will have Karl, we always have to have 1 or 2 following behind. Can't let any hurricane or storm be out in that great big ocean alone, now can we? LOL

#9 Postby **wx247** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:52 am

krisj wrote:Of course we will have Karl, we always have to have 1 or 2 following behind. Can't let any hurricane or storm be out in that great big ocean alone, now can we? LOL

It is very sad, but I find this true... at least this season.

Three Blind Mice · #10 Postby **Three Blind Mice** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:57 am

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912004) ON 20040916 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040916 1200 040917 0000 040917 1200 040918 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.0N 30.7W 11.6N 33.0W 12.4N 35.3W 13.3N 37.3W
BAMM 11.0N 30.7W 11.5N 32.9W 12.2N 35.2W 13.1N 37.0W
A98E 11.0N 30.7W 11.2N 33.5W 11.3N 36.4W 11.3N 39.1W
LBAR 11.0N 30.7W 11.6N 33.3W 12.4N 36.1W 13.2N 38.8W
SHIP 30KTS 39KTS 50KTS 61KTS
DSHP 30KTS 39KTS 50KTS 61KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040918 1200 040919 1200 040920 1200 040921 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.0N 38.9W 15.2N 41.7W 16.8N 44.4W 19.7N 48.1W
BAMM 14.0N 38.3W 15.8N 40.6W 18.3N 44.2W 20.4N 49.7W
A98E 11.0N 41.4W 11.1N 44.7W 11.0N 46.7W 12.2N 45.8W
LBAR 14.0N 41.5W 15.0N 46.4W 15.0N 50.2W 18.2N 50.3W
SHIP 72KTS 89KTS 98KTS 100KTS
DSHP 72KTS 89KTS 98KTS 100KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.0N LONCUR = 30.7W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 10.6N LONM12 = 27.8W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 10.6N LONM24 = 25.2W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Scorpion · #11 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:06 am

Looks like a fish storm to me.

kevin · #12 Postby **kevin** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:07 am

Wow, ships wants to make it strong.

#13 Postby **Windy** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:12 am

Seems like it, but it's still a long way out. We definately don't need another fish crawling onto land!

HurricaneJoe22 · #14 Postby **HurricaneJoe22** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:38 am

Wx247, you know you like seeing storm after storm....we all do....but they all don't have to hit the U.S.

#15 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:39 am

Handsome isnt he?

<RICKY>

DoctorHurricane2003 · #16 Postby **DoctorHurricane2003** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:43 am

Scorpion...I thought Ivan was a fish..... :roll:

x-y-no · #17 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:03 pm

If this gets to TS status today (which I think it will) then it has fish written all over it.

Guest · #18 Postby **Guest** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:10 pm

You all say watch the trend with the models. I am and the trend is moving this farther west. Yesterday they had this tropical disturbance moving north already.

DoctorHurricane2003 · #19 Postby **DoctorHurricane2003** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:12 pm

x-y-no...I'd like to see what meteorological evidence you can present to prove that...

x-y-no · #20 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:25 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:x-y-no...I'd like to see what meteorological evidence you can present to prove that...

Well, first of all, the stronger a system is the more pronounced the beta effect is. So for that reason alone we would expect Karl to start stair-stepping northward gradually. And being only at a little more that 30W, he'll have a lot of room to do some stair-stepping.

Second, come around 50W or so he should be influenced by the TUTT digging just a little west of that. Again, he'll be more likely to pick up on that the stronger he is, as well as being further north due to the first reason above.

KARL??

KARL??

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