Navy NOGAPS...Jeanne Faster and Toward FL

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MWatkins
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Navy NOGAPS...Jeanne Faster and Toward FL

#1 Postby MWatkins » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:19 pm

The recent NOGAPS run from tonight brings Jeanne very close to the FL coast in 3 days...well ahead of the TPC guidance...owning to a strong ridge to the north:

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/WXM ... lantic.gif

Looking at San Juan Radar...Jeanne is looking better organized and is probably a hurricane now:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml

The GFS is also stronger with the ridge this evening. Anyone writing this off better hope it's because of land interaction with the DR.

MW
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:23 pm

Doesnt look like its gonna get too much of the DR to me :eek:
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#3 Postby MWatkins » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:54 pm

Zero question...this is a hurricane:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml

MW
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#4 Postby miamijaaz » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:59 pm

wow, it seems like the mountains of Puerto Rico had no effect...
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#5 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:02 am

Pretty heavy squall line has been over the Virgin Islands for quite a long time now.
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Re: Navy NOGAPS...Jeanne Faster and Toward FL

#6 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:08 am

MWatkins wrote:The recent NOGAPS run from tonight brings Jeanne very close to the FL coast in 3 days...well ahead of the TPC guidance...owning to a strong ridge to the north:

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/WXM ... lantic.gif

Looking at San Juan Radar...Jeanne is looking better organized and is probably a hurricane now:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml

The GFS is also stronger with the ridge this evening. Anyone writing this off better hope it's because of land interaction with the DR.

MW


Mike what are the odds of Jeanne possibly making it into the GOM?
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#7 Postby cccmachine » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:10 am

I want to see Tropical Cyclone Center's forcast on this one
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#8 Postby Fego » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:16 am

An eye?

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
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gkrangers

#9 Postby gkrangers » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:25 am

No, its just a circle surrounded by deep convection.
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