Good news for Mobile

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rockyman
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#21 Postby rockyman » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:02 pm

If the New Orleans forecaster said that, then it's the N.O. forecaster who made a mistake...NOT the NHC.

BTW, the eyewall seems to be "repairing itself" in the SW quad.
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dennis1x1

#22 Postby dennis1x1 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:02 pm

the reported number is the max.......they dont just report the se quad for the heck of it...they report wherever they find the highest wind.....so the ne was lower at that time.

it was never 140mph this afternoon...the highest recon was 127kts...the highest advisory was 135.
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rockyman
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#23 Postby rockyman » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:03 pm

Dennis..that is NOT true...where did you get this info?
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dennis1x1

#24 Postby dennis1x1 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:04 pm

the nhc issued the windfield advisory.....and the hurricane warning for new orleans....winds in new orleans are 35mph.....and the eye is as close as its going to be....

im just stating a fact...not blaming anyone...its just the way that it is...winds on the west side of the storm are nowhere near where they were predicted to be.....just an observation....not even really a discussion.
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dennis1x1

#25 Postby dennis1x1 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:05 pm

Dennis..that is NOT true...where did you get this info


lol...which part isnt true? the max reported recon wind? the 127kts? the 135mph?

yep..all true.
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Sanibel
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#26 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:06 pm

If you interpolate the present movement it should hook away from Mobile and bring the weaker west winds down Mobile Bay instead of up. They should still get strong winds of over 100mph.

It shows Pensacola taking the brunt now. Pensacola Bay should get the forced surge now...
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AL Chili Pepper
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#27 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:08 pm

Pensacola to get the worst of this storm....
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dennis1x1

#28 Postby dennis1x1 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:11 pm

mobile...40mph winds with CENTER of eye only 65 miles away....this is shaping up to be a very localized wind event.....
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Possum Trot
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#29 Postby Possum Trot » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:12 pm

I do't usually watch these things this closely. Is it typical for a hurricane eye to begin to lose integrity as it approaches land fall? My guess is yes. Do some storms maintain integrity through landfall?
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dennis1x1

#30 Postby dennis1x1 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:13 pm

andrew...hugo.......a couple that come to mind.
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AL Chili Pepper
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#31 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:47 pm

Looks like that little piece of LA that sticks out in the Gulf put the hurt on Ivan. Wow...good news. It doesn't look nearly as imposing as it did.
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