Ivan: Landfalling as a Cat 4 Burst! Radar Link

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Clint_TX
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Ivan: Landfalling as a Cat 4 Burst! Radar Link

#1 Postby Clint_TX » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:13 pm

Based on the last few ir frames, Ivan is undergoing the beginning of a major intensification.

God be with those on the coast.

NO Radar: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
Last edited by Clint_TX on Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:50 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby JtSmarts » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:15 pm

He still has some dry to face so he probably won't become a Cat 5 again but strong 3 moderate 4 seems most reasonable imo.
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#3 Postby Clint_TX » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:25 pm

Bump for radar link
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#4 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:27 pm

I think he'll be a Category 4 at landfall
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#5 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:31 pm

Sorry to jump your post. I saw it and went right to the board.

Hang out, could just be a cosmetic occurrence that will average out to maintaining 135mph...
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#6 Postby Clint_TX » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:38 pm

No prob...I've only been doing this for 15 years, so maybe I can learn something, there is more to my reasoning than I posted...i.e. outflow channels, sw interaction, and the rebound from a dry air intrusion...
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#7 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:39 pm

The eye is getting bigger!
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#8 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:40 pm

IR loop definetly shows strengthening...

Notice the eye clearing out...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#9 Postby MBryant » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:41 pm

Anybody think there is a chance for a NW "wobble" at landfall due to land interaction like at Jamaica and Grand Cayman?
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#10 Postby FritzPaul » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:43 pm

Does anyone know what effect the relatively cooler river water and river current at the MS river delta will have on Ivan?
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#11 Postby Clint_TX » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:45 pm

MBryant wrote:Anybody think there is a chance for a NW "wobble" at landfall due to land interaction like at Jamaica and Grand Cayman?


Yeah it's possible with the shortwave being so far to Ivan's NW
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#12 Postby Clint_TX » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:51 pm

Bump for topic change
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#13 Postby Ixolib » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:07 pm

Clint_TX wrote:
MBryant wrote:Anybody think there is a chance for a NW "wobble" at landfall due to land interaction like at Jamaica and Grand Cayman?


Yeah it's possible with the shortwave being so far to Ivan's NW


Hi Clint - could you give a layman's version of how that shortwave might impact Ivan's movement?
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#14 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:26 pm

Looks like he's putting his game face back on...just when I thought he was going to weaken.
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#15 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:32 pm

Woo boy.

Still steady for Mobile on radar even though satellite suggests more west...
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#16 Postby veaux » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:36 pm

The eye seems to be getting smaller on the last frame 1:30 frame
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#17 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:39 pm

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR4.html

Check out that convection on the SE....very bad news for P'cola.
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#18 Postby Possum Trot » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:39 pm

Sanibel wrote:Woo boy.

Still steady for Mobile on radar even though satellite suggests more west...


Yeah, can anybody explain why it looks more west of north on sat than on radar?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
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#19 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:44 pm

What's up with these storms rapidly instensifying before Landfall? Alex, Charley, Ivan....the only one that didn't was Frances.
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#20 Postby mpetre » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:04 pm

I am not real experienced with hurricane watching, but I wondered why there has been so little discussion (i.e. the Weather Channel) about the similarities with Camille. Thread here anywhere about that?
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