10AM CDT 135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 939 mb

[butch]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... ublic.html

[Josephine96]

so he's weakened a tad

[CaptinCrunch]

Estimated minimum central pressure is 939 mb...27.73 inches.

[ColdWaterConch]

Met on NO tv said that there has not been a plane in the cane for awhile, and that he doubts that the storm has weaked this much...says it is looking good on IR and SAT.

Also, noted that the storm is moving N and that NO is out of the woods for a significant hit.

[Josephine96]

well maybe they should send a plane in then

[dennis1x1]

here we go with circus clown nola media mets again....

the exact reason it was reduced to 135 was BECAUSE of the recon......but the nola met knows better....oh brother.....

and for the nola met......he does not look any better now that the last recon considering a close wall was reported then.....and it appears to be open to the north right now.

[simplykristi]

Looks like very bad news for Mobile

Kristi

[Derek Ortt]

what was not said is that few of the probes worked.

The eddy remains

[CaptinCrunch]

here we go with circus clown nola media mets again....

the exact reason it was reduced to 135 was BECAUSE of the recon......but the nola met knows better....oh brother.....

and for the nola met......he does not look any better now that the last recon considering a close wall was reported then.....and it appears to be open to the north right now.

better LOOK again:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/RSOgeflt.html

Ivan looks BETTER now than he did at 5am.

[ColdWaterConch]

here we go with circus clown nola media mets again....

the exact reason it was reduced to 135 was BECAUSE of the recon......but the nola met knows better....oh brother.....

and for the nola met......he does not look any better now that the last recon considering a close wall was reported then.....and it appears to be open to the north right now.

"the last reconnaissance mission concluded at 12z...and the next
aircraft will be arriving momentarily." The first sentence of the discussion

[FritzPaul]

Does anyone know what effect the relatively cooler river water and river current at the MS river delta will have on Ivan?

[dennis1x1]

i just went back and looped the latest sat with the 12z sat........at best its maintained.....the eyewall looked better at 12z, the cloudtops look a little better now to the west....so call it a wash


recon will settle this but i suspect pressure still around 940 and i doubt they find anything higher than 130kt flight level.

[dennis1x1]

well here we have it:

URNT12 KNHC 151432
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 15/1438Z
B. 27 DEG 18 MIN N
88 DEG 02 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2579 M
D. 80 KT
E. 139 DEG 045 NM
F. 212 DEG 123 KT
G. 126 DEG 030 NM
H. 940 MB
I. 11 C/ 3075 M
J. 17 C/ 3038 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C40
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/1.0 NM
P. AF963 4009A IVAN OB 04
MAX FL WIND 123 KT SE QUAD 1427Z.

winds may be a tad higher than 123 since they found the max in the SE...but maybe not.