Jeanne and the East Coast

Josephine96 · #1 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:05 am

I think Jeanne is going to be a decent if not major threat to the East Coast..

She is already a borderline cane and unless she stays a Cat 1 or a weak Cat 2.. this storm could get nasty..

If the High pressure system steers it along.. it'll really only have 2 places to go.. Florida or the Carolinas and it'll most likely be Florida if the high builds in.. or just because of our bad luck this year lol..

One of the worst scenarios would be if Jean moved WNW even at 10-15 mph and made landfall between Melbourne and Vero.. Because a lot of those areas were decimated by Frances..

Central Fla has still never seen a landfall from a major {thank God Frances weakened}.. but this could be the 1 if she rapidly intensifies

cflweather · #2 Postby **cflweather** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:23 am

Yeah that is a bad scenerio, since that exactly where I live. We still have no power

#3 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:25 am

Josephine96 wrote:I think Jeanne is going to be a decent if not major threat to the East Coast..

She is already a borderline cane and unless she stays a Cat 1 or a weak Cat 2.. this storm could get nasty..

If the High pressure system steers it along.. it'll really only have 2 places to go.. Florida or the Carolinas and it'll most likely be Florida if the high builds in.. or just because of our bad luck this year lol..

One of the worst scenarios would be if Jean moved WNW even at 10-15 mph and made landfall between Melbourne and Vero.. Because a lot of those areas were decimated by Frances..

Central Fla has still never seen a landfall from a major {thank God Frances weakened}.. but this could be the 1 if she rapidly intensifies

THANK YOU JOHN...I will go with out lunch today now...lol.... :lol:

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:26 am

LOL sorry..

Skywatch_NC · #5 Postby **Skywatch_NC** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:29 am

We have to remember that if Jeanne heads towards the Dominican Republic for ie. those mountains could take it out of her and make her one disorganized woman as a result!

Eric

tallbunch · #6 Postby **tallbunch** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:30 am

I have been thinking Fish the entire time

Josephine96 · #7 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:31 am

I'm not sold on a fish scenario quite yet

pete807 · #8 Postby **pete807** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:47 am

http://www.wxrisk.com/hurricane/hurricanes1.htm#ANALYSIS:

wxrisk.com

"a huge Ridge High pressure will develop over New England and into the Northwest Atlantic and it is this High pressure system will block tropical storm or hurricane JEANNE from turning out to sea and FORCE her to take a sharp LEFT into central or South Florida and possibly even into the Florida Straits over the weekend and early next week."

TexasStooge · #9 Postby **TexasStooge** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:49 am

If Florida keeps getting pounded, it'll end up a sunken state.

#10 Postby **Portastorm** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:49 am

Jeanne will probably be a western GOM storm with Texas landfall.

Everyone else has suffered this year 'cept for us. It's our turn. We will get spanked!

Josephine96 · #11 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:50 am

Thank you for that Pete.. if that High does develop.. then we could be in some trouble here

Skywatch_NC · #12 Postby **Skywatch_NC** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:51 am

Hopefully then mountainous terrain in the DR + some shear, etc., will have kept her then as a fairly weak system as she nears FL in that time frame.

Eric

Josephine96 · #13 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:52 am

Yes Eric hopefully.. It could be interesting

yoda · #14 Postby **yoda** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:54 am

Well, according to the new 11 AM track, FL may, MAY, be spared...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

Josephine96 · #15 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:57 am

I think that track hasn't changed..

#16 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:57 am

I find it interesting that the NHC is going against the FSU ensemble - seems they were relying on it a lot during the tracking of Ivan, or am I wrong?? Here's a snippet from the 11am discussion:

"The official forecast is similar to the previous package
with a little more northward motion after 96 hr. The forecast
track is to the left of all the dynamical guidance save the GFDL
and FSU superensemble."

Skywatch_NC · #17 Postby **Skywatch_NC** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:58 am

yoda wrote:Well, according to the new 11 AM track, FL may, MAY, be spared...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

With that cone it looks interesting for SC or NC. Unless that High for New England and the NW Atlantic as mentioned earlier from Wxrisk plays a part.

Eric

Josephine96 · #18 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:59 am

If that blocking high is supposed to set up., then shouldn't the track take a left shift

blizzard20 · #19 Postby **blizzard20** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:00 am

jeanne will move towards the Northwest then Northward along the east coast . Ivan will make weakenness on the east coast to allow jeanne to come up the east coast. Karla will reach the east coast with in the next 15 days.

Josephine96 · #20 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:02 am

Sounds like a bold prediction Blizzard

Jeanne and the East Coast

Jeanne and the East Coast

Re: Jeanne and the East Coast

jeanne is not florida storm but east coast storm .

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