Ivan is looking more impressive on satelitte

#21 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:28 am

Outflow is also better than it has been (in all 4 quads) than through nearly any point in his history. Also, the storm is moving fast enough that the shallow depth of the warm waters north of the warm eddy won't really make a difference...they're still warm.

jpigott · #22 Postby **jpigott** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:29 am

how close is Ivan to that warm eddy of water everybody keeps refering to. will it affect the strength of this system before landfall

goodlife · #23 Postby **goodlife** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:30 am

Bob Breck says he expects the storm to become more symmetrical before landfall

#24 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:09 am

jpigott wrote:how close is Ivan to that warm eddy of water everybody keeps refering to. will it affect the strength of this system before landfall

Ivan should be upon the eddy now, with the ERC completed and Ivan's slow movement over the eddy, he will get better organzined and become stronger just before landfall

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&isingle=mult_big&itype=wv

#25 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:26 am

canegrl04 · #26 Postby **canegrl04** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:29 am

I think Ivan will grow close to cat 5 before landfall :eek:

goodlife · #27 Postby **goodlife** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:34 am

but the good news for us in Louisiana is that it looks like he's turned to the N...and maybe even a tad to the NE
Not ready to breathe a sigh of relief just yet....but I think we may have dodged the bullet AGAIN!!!
woohoo

#28 Postby **vbhoutex** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:36 am

Based on what I see in that loop, I feel Ivan has a good chance at regaining some strength, at least to strong Cat4 before landfall. He is currently moving over the warm eddy and its' effects will start to be felt soon and he is not entraining any of the dry air to his West-he appears to be pushing it away to the S and SW.

jpigott · #29 Postby **jpigott** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:37 am

when is the next recon plane supposed to go in, you would think with Ivan this close to landfall that there would be more frequent recon missions

#30 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:40 am

vbhoutex,

I agree, a STRONG CAT 4 at least and the storm surge will be bad for AL and MS.

Ivan may Bomb over that eddy.

dennis1x1 · #31 Postby **dennis1x1** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:44 am

ill go along with the nhc and expect slow weakening to occur...it will be interesting to see from latest recon (now entering) if pressures are still rising and if winds really support the 135mph advisory.......id be surprised if they find 130kt flight level winds.

landfall at 105kts.

Ivan is looking more impressive on satelitte

Who is online