Bands expanding further NW into La. A more

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Biloxi
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Bands expanding further NW into La. A more

#1 Postby Biloxi » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:17 am

NNW track I don't believe would be having this type of banding features this far in to LA. Last position only moved Ivan 2/10ths of a degree to the west and this does not jive with that course. Of course this is just my opinion based on sat. observation. Recon will probrably say its moving north. ( not putting them down) just don't understand visual vs. recon data.
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mobilebay
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#2 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:22 am

Center is ner 26.0 N and 87.8W based on NRL satelitte pic. STill NNW.
ALSO, every model turns this due north between 88.0W, and 88.5W, so once it passes 88.5 you may have a case. Also, with no Recon fixes, and only one sattelite pic in three hours you cannot judge recent trends.
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Biloxi
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#3 Postby Biloxi » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:35 am

MobileBay - If you are correct concerning the current fix at 26.0N and 87.8W that would mean that Ivan has traveled .4 degrees north and .6 degrees west. I totally agree with that analysis.
Mobile is 88.15W so as you say, that is a pretty important point for Ivan to pass if he is going to have a greater impact to the west.
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#4 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:22 am

although I dont normally agree with sat. fixes this is close and as we know there are several differnt * in each heading s 1 or 2 * here of there may mean 30-50 miles diff. ...Thought I had a new vortex but It was old!
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#5 Postby kokomo » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:28 am

<img src=http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v116/the-watcher/ivan1a.gif>
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