Catastrophic flooding major concern and likely per mets

[ncsandman]

Well MB, everything flows east, and I noticed the Cape Fear and Lumber rivers were still flooded this past week-end.

[MBismyPlayground]

Sandman, thanks so much for the info......I would assume golf on monday, tuesday would be out of the question.

[ncsandman]

Just depends on if the golf course runs along a river.

[caneweary]

not sure exactly where it is, but the 11pm advisory for ivan has it stationnary for the last 2 days of the forecast

Forecast valid 18/0000z 35.0n 85.5w...inland
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 19/0000z 35.5n 85.0w...inland
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 25 kt.

Outlook valid 20/0000z 35.5n 85.0w...inland
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 25 kt.


those coordinates don't seem to move much

Man, that is not good. Just eyeballing it, those coordinates have it stalled over SE Tennessee.

[Pileus]

Hugo_Charlotte, where in CLT are you?

[Hugo_Charlotte]

Right up the road from you. I live in the Steele Creek Community.

[Pileus]

Ya'll have some awesome fields for Dixie Youth baseball. Son played there
alot.

[STORMSURGE]

Remember the floods from floyd, most of the piedmont and western nc didnt see much rain from floyd...right now the whole stat is saturated, alot of rivers and dams are now critical. throw into th mix that IVAN will likely soak soak all of NC and SC, the Jeanne could double the rainfall in the eastern half of the two states when the runoff is heading south.SCARY

[Hugo_Charlotte]

INITIAL 15/0300Z 25.1N 87.2W 120 KT
12HR VT 15/1200Z 26.6N 87.8W 125 KT
24HR VT 16/0000Z 28.6N 88.2W 125 KT
36HR VT 16/1200Z 30.6N 88.2W 120 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 17/0000Z 32.6N 87.6W 70 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 18/0000Z 35.0N 85.5W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 19/0000Z 35.5N 85.0W 20 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 20/0000Z 35.5N 85.0W 20 KT...INLAND

48 hrs of VERY little movement...CRAP

[Brent]

How much movement do we see in the 96 to 120 hrs???
YIKES

INITIAL 15/0300Z 25.1N 87.2W 120 KT
12HR VT 15/1200Z 26.6N 87.8W 125 KT
24HR VT 16/0000Z 28.6N 88.2W 125 KT
36HR VT 16/1200Z 30.6N 88.2W 120 KT...INLAND NEAR MOBILE, ALABAMA(140 MPH WINDS!)
48HR VT 17/0000Z 32.6N 87.6W 70 KT...INLAND OVER HALE COUNTY, ALABAMA(80 MPH WINDS)
72HR VT 18/0000Z 35.0N 85.5W 30 KT...INLAND NEAR ALABAMA/GEORGIA/TENNESSEE BORDER(35 MPH WINDS)
96HR VT 19/0000Z 35.5N 85.0W 20 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 20/0000Z 35.5N 85.0W 20 KT...INLAND

Zero, Zlitch, Nada. The stall is between Chattanooga and Knoxville.

[Dan]

I think Eric Thomas on WBTV just had a "weatherman's orgasm", he was jumping around all over the place talking about a 48-72 hour stall and the possible result for the North Carolina Mountains, 20-30 inch rainfall.

[Hugo_Charlotte]

How damn funny was that!!! I thought we were gonna need a defribilator. He is a exciteable but has a point....If they are getting us "prepared" for this then something is in the works.