Sep 14 and storms brought to you by the letter J

[senorpepr]

Let's welcome Jeanne... Up next is Karl, Lisa, Matthew.

Below is a breakdown of what storms were active on Sep 14 between 1954 and 2003. (Note: storm numbers in parenthesis had been finalled out by NHC prior to Sep 14) If applicable, there is a listing of what date the "J" storm developed on. At the end the list is the 50 year average ('54-'03).

Please Note: Number represents the number of storms (excluding subtropical storms) thus far in the season. The start dates of the J-storm are when these systems were tropical depressions.

Active Storms on September 14, followed by the date the J-storm formed.

03 9; Sep 24
02 7, 8, 9; Sep 17
01 5, 6, 7; Oct 06
00 6, 7; Sep 25
99 6, 7; Oct 17
98 (6); Sep 21
97 5; n/a
96 8; Oct 04
95 13; Aug 22
94 (4); n/a
93 7; n/a
92 (1); n/a
91 3, (4), (5); n/a
90 9; Sep 21
89 8; Oct 12
88 8; Oct 10
87 4; n/a
86 5; n/a
85 (5); Oct 26
84 4, 5; Oct 07
83 3; n/a
82 4; n/a
81 7, 8; Oct 29
80 6, (7); Nov 07
79 6, 7; n/a
78 6, 7, 8; Oct 07
77 (3); n/a
76 (6); n/a
75 5; n/a
74 5, 6; n/a
73 5; n/a
72 4; n/a
71 5, (6), 7, 8, 9; Sep 21
70 6; n/a
69 8; Oct 01
68 5, 6; n/a
67 2, 3, 4; n/a
66 (7); Sep 27
65 (2); n/a
64 4, 5, (6), 7; n/a
63 (2); n/a
62 3; n/a
61 3, 4, 5; Nov 01
60 4, 5; n/a
59 6; Oct 17
58 7; Oct 05
57 3, (4); n/a
56 5; n/a
55 8, 9; Sep 21
54 5, (6); n/a

====
Average # of TS on Sep 14: 05.98 ('04: above average by 4.02 TSs)
Average Date for J-storm*: Oct 05 ('04: ahead of schedule by 21 days)

* J-storm occurred 46% of the time in the past 50 years.

Note: The following "30-yr averages" encompass the years 2003-1974

TS YTD vs 30yr Seasonal Average: 10 vs 9.97 (+0.03)
HR YTD vs 30yr Seasonal Average: 5 vs 5.83 (-0.83)
MHR YTD vs 30yr Seasonal Average: 4 vs 2.20 (+1.80)

[senorpepr]

2003 Hurricane (2) Juan* (Hit Nova Scotia)
2002 Tropical Storm Josephine (Fish)
2001 Tropical Storm Jerry (Hit Windward Is.)
2000 Hurricane (1) Joyce (Hit Venezuela)
1999 Hurricane (2) Jose (Hit Windward Is., PR)
1998 Hurricane (2) Jeanne (Hit Azores, Portugal, Spain)
1997 None
1996 Tropical Storm Josephine (Hit US E Coast, E Canada)
1995 Tropical Storm Jerry (Hit Bahamas, FL, GA)
1994 None
1993 None
1992 None
1991 None
1990 Hurricane (1) Josephine (Fish)
1989 Hurricane (1) Jerry (Hit TX)
1988 Hurricane (4) Joan* (Hit Windward Is., Colombia, Central America)
1987 None
1986 None
1985 Hurricane (1) Juan (Hit Central Gulf Coast)
1984 Hurricane (2) Josephine (Fish)
1983 None
1982 None
1981 Tropical Storm Jose (Fish)
1980 Hurricane (2) Jeanne (Skirted Central America, Cuba)
1979 None
1978 Tropical Storm Juliet (Fish)
1977 None
1976 None
1975 None
1974 None
1973 None
1972 None
1971 Tropical Storm Janice (Fish)
1970 None
1969 Tropical Storm Jenny (Hit W Cuba, FL)
1968 None
1967 None
1966 Tropical Storm Judith (Hit Windward Islands)
1965 None
1964 None
1963 None
1962 None
1961 Hurricane (1) Jenny (Fish)
1960 None
1959 Hurricane (1) Judith (Hit FL, Bahamas)
1958 Hurricane (1) Janice (Hit Cuba, Bahamas, Bermuda)
1957 None
1956 None
1955 Super Hurricane (5) Janet* (Hit Lesser Antilles, Belize, Yucatan, Mexico)
1954 None

"J" names in the past...
28% became category one hurricanes
14% became category two hurricanes
04% became category three hurricanes
04% became category four hurricanes
02% became category five hurricanes

(Names with asterisk denotes retired name)

[Guest]

the 1998 jeanne is interesting... hit portugal and spain?

[msbee]

don't forget Hurricane Lenny who hit us in November 1999, coming at us from the west

[senorpepr]

^bump^

...to correct data for average J-storm formation date. I forgot to add 1955's J-storm to the data set.