Encouraged by Ivans N track

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5937
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Encouraged by Ivans N track

#1 Postby MGC » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:54 pm

A north track that Ivan has been on the past several hours is encouraging. As long as Ivan wobbles between NNW and N the Mississipi Coast should be on Ivan's weak side. The ridge to Ivans NW is holding stronger than expected. Still calling for landfall in Alabama or NW Florida.....MGC
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:56 pm

It has happened several times in the last 48 to 72 hours (at least)... the ridge builds southwestward
then is influenced by Ivan, thus it move northeastward, builds in again, retreats, etc.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
FritzPaul
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 468
Age: 58
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:09 pm
Location: Pensacola, FL
Contact:
Contact FritzPaul

#3 Postby FritzPaul » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:00 pm

If you lool at the outer eye wall trying to form, the motion still looks NNW.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormie_skies
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3318
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 9:25 pm
Location: League City, TX

#4 Postby stormie_skies » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:03 pm

I dont know, his path seems very stair-steppy (is that a word? :lol:) to me ... at this stage every jog is important but Im not convinced that this means his path will be due north from here on out...

If I lived anywhere in that warning area, I would be heading for the hills regardless....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Mattie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 583
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 7:44 pm
Location: North Texas (formerly South Louisiana)
Contact:
Contact Mattie

#5 Postby Mattie » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:20 pm

Fortunately people aren't taking chances in New Orleans - it's a 5 hour (at least) trip to Baton Rouge because of the gridlock. They have 1/2 going 10 and 1/2 going 12. All street level roads are as backed up - hotels are full in all directions and they were recommending that people keep driving to Texas . . .

go to http://www.wtix690am.com/live.html

for live reports
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#6 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:23 pm

Don't be...I still think it will move NW for a while before it is all over with. Maybe not for long...but I think once the high in LA moves north of it...it will jog NW.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25, pepecool20 and 38 guests