5pm 140 mph same track 929mb

[c5Camille]

preasure down, and they are playing "Let It Be" on the radio.
http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... 00409.html

advisory http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... ublic.html

[Brent]

More bad news... they keep it a Cat 4 til landfall. Looks like it just drifts around after it because it's still down in extreme SW Alabama as a Cat 1 at 1pm Thursday.

[WeatherNLU]

I love .5N and .1W. If that continues, we should fare relatively well here.

[Josephine96]

If it stays a Cat 4 then wherever it goes could end up with nearly catastrophic damages

[canegrl04]

Maybe appropriate song for whats ahead .

I think Ivan will be up to 155mph by 11pm if pressure continues to drop. And theres still an eddy waiting out in front of him

[c5Camille]

it's not looking good.
we are in a mandatory evac. south of US 90...
in all of Jackson County.

[WeatherNLU]

If it stays a Cat 4 then wherever it goes could end up with nearly catastrophic damages

Yeah, that's why I love the .5N .1W.

I love you guys to my east, but this city can't handle it.

[Scorpion]

Lets hope it stays due N. Sorry Panhandle/Alabama, but a NOLA hit would be horrible!

[Nimbus]

The pressure is deceiving Camille had a very low central pressure but was a small storm by comparison.

50 knot winds and 25+ foot seas are occuring over 150 miles from the center of Ivan.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

For a spooky dejavu comparison check these two satellite links out.

http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/camille.jpg

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... 9_sat.html

[Brent]

Lets hope it stays due N. Sorry Panhandle/Alabama, but a NOLA hit would be horrible!

I know. I don't want to see the surge in Mobile Bay though.

[soonertwister]

I love .5N and .1W. If that continues, we should fare relatively well here.

That 3-hour change in position isn't very useful when the eye is wobbling about like Ivan's has been. In the previous 3 hours the change was .3 N .3W, or NW. That makes the 6-hour change .8N .4W, which is more westerly and slightly faster than the previous 6-hour change, which was .8N .2W.

Simply put, Ivan has move the same distance north in each of the last two 6-hour fixes, but twice as far west in the most recent one.

Sorry to bring such news.

[PTrackerLA]

I've noticed the outflow to the north is flattening out and expanding west. I read this morning to look out for that because that would mean the ridge is starting to affect it and a more NW motion should start. I'm very concerned for New Orleans.

[Nimbus]

I think a lot of people in New Orleans that have decided to stay don't realize that the storm surge and wind fields of Ivan are larger than Camille. They hear the forecasters talking about maybe some weakening before landfall and they think they can ride it out or bug out at the last minute. This is not lookuing good at all.

[c5Camille]

camille was 35 feet...
and New Orleans is more likely to get
hard north winds... yes, that will put Lake
Panchatrain into the City but probably not
to 35 feet...

New Orleans worst nitemare is a Cat 3-5
headed in a NW direction and making landfall
just to the south... They would fill up with
20 feet of water... stuck in the bowl.

[Ixolib]

The pressure is deceiving Camille had a very low central pressure but was a small storm by comparison.

50 knot winds and 25+ foot seas are occuring over 150 miles from the center of Ivan.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

For a spooky dejavu comparison check these two satellite links out.

http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/camille.jpg

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... 9_sat.html

Does that present a better or a worse scenario??

[Buck]

Camille's surge was 25, not 35 feet.

[c5Camille]

i stand corrected. 25 feet... Yikes!

[Rainband]

Stay safe all of you.