Breaking news=At 11 am edt TD#11 will be TS Jeanne

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cycloneye
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Breaking news=At 11 am edt TD#11 will be TS Jeanne

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2004 7:57 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

The heading has changed at nrl and the models show 35KTS.

Code: Select all

  TROPICAL STORM JEANNE     (AL112004) ON 20040914  1200 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          040914  1200   040915  0000   040915  1200   040916  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    16.4N  62.7W   16.9N  64.3W   17.5N  66.1W   18.0N  67.7W
  BAMM    16.4N  62.7W   16.9N  64.6W   17.6N  66.5W   18.1N  68.0W
  A98E    16.4N  62.7W   16.8N  64.7W   17.2N  66.7W   17.7N  68.7W
  LBAR    16.4N  62.7W   16.8N  64.7W   17.7N  66.7W   18.5N  68.7W
  SHIP        35KTS          44KTS          53KTS          61KTS
  DSHP        35KTS          44KTS          48KTS          55KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          040916  1200   040917  1200   040918  1200   040919  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    18.2N  69.0W   18.1N  70.8W   18.3N  72.5W   19.9N  74.6W
  BAMM    18.6N  69.3W   18.8N  70.6W   19.7N  71.2W   22.9N  71.0W
  A98E    17.9N  70.5W   17.5N  73.7W   16.5N  76.5W   16.2N  78.9W
  LBAR    19.1N  70.4W   20.3N  73.3W   21.5N  75.5W   24.2N  76.4W
  SHIP        67KTS          72KTS          72KTS          74KTS
  DSHP        62KTS          67KTS          67KTS          69KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  16.4N LONCUR =  62.7W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
  LATM12 =  16.0N LONM12 =  60.7W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
  LATM24 =  15.6N LONM24 =  58.8W
  WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   25KT
  CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =   15NM RD34NW =   0NM
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#2 Postby Stormtrack03 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 8:03 am

So indeed we got Jeanne.
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Re: Breaking news=At 11 am edt TD#11 will be TS Jeanne

#3 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Sep 14, 2004 8:23 am

cycloneye wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

The heading has changed at nrl and the models show 35KTS.

Code: Select all

  TROPICAL STORM JEANNE     (AL112004) ON 20040914  1200 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          040914  1200   040915  0000   040915  1200   040916  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    16.4N  62.7W   16.9N  64.3W   17.5N  66.1W   18.0N  67.7W
  BAMM    16.4N  62.7W   16.9N  64.6W   17.6N  66.5W   18.1N  68.0W
  A98E    16.4N  62.7W   16.8N  64.7W   17.2N  66.7W   17.7N  68.7W
  LBAR    16.4N  62.7W   16.8N  64.7W   17.7N  66.7W   18.5N  68.7W
  SHIP        35KTS          44KTS          53KTS          61KTS
  DSHP        35KTS          44KTS          48KTS          55KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          040916  1200   040917  1200   040918  1200   040919  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    18.2N  69.0W   18.1N  70.8W   18.3N  72.5W   19.9N  74.6W
  BAMM    18.6N  69.3W   18.8N  70.6W   19.7N  71.2W   22.9N  71.0W
  A98E    17.9N  70.5W   17.5N  73.7W   16.5N  76.5W   16.2N  78.9W
  LBAR    19.1N  70.4W   20.3N  73.3W   21.5N  75.5W   24.2N  76.4W
  SHIP        67KTS          72KTS          72KTS          74KTS
  DSHP        62KTS          67KTS          67KTS          69KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  16.4N LONCUR =  62.7W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
  LATM12 =  16.0N LONM12 =  60.7W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
  LATM24 =  15.6N LONM24 =  58.8W
  WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   25KT
  CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =   15NM RD34NW =   0NM


well i must say the hurricane models are doing something completley different with the storm than NHC is doing.
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Wannabewxman79
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#4 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 8:29 am

What are the models doing with that storm?
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#5 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Sep 14, 2004 8:30 am

Wannabewxman79 wrote:What are the models doing with that storm?

see above post by cycloneye
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#6 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 8:30 am

Wannabewxman79 wrote:What are the models doing with that storm?


http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_11.gif
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Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:32 am

Glad to see we now officially have 10 named storms..
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#8 Postby jpigott » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:35 am

question - if Ivan heads further west Miss/AL border to NO and treks north instead of NE (like NOGAPS) will it be any less likely then to pull Jeanie more northward (in other words if Ivan is far enough west, will the result be not to drag Jeanie north with him)
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