Vortex

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NorthGaWeather

Vortex

#1 Postby NorthGaWeather » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:12 am

URNT12 KNHC 140547
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/0547Z
B. 22 DEG 19 MIN N
85 DEG 34 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2421 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 088 DEG 134 KT
G. 349 DEG 15 NM
H. 924 MB
I. 10 C/ 3090 M
J. 18 C/ 3066 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/1.0 NM
P. AF963 3209A IVAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 134 KT N QUAD 0542Z.
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Windy
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#2 Postby Windy » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:16 am

ERC going on -- good thing, too, since it's going over less favorable conditions soon. Maybe having the ERC happen now will take some wind out of her sails.
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#3 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:17 am

Windy wrote:ERC going on -- good thing, too, since it's going over less favorable conditions soon. Maybe having the ERC happen now will take some wind out of her sails.


YES!!!!!!!!!!
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#4 Postby yoda » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:19 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Windy wrote:ERC going on -- good thing, too, since it's going over less favorable conditions soon. Maybe having the ERC happen now will take some wind out of her sails.


YES!!!!!!!!!!


Not that much wind StormCenter... maybe 20 mph at most.
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dennis1x1

#5 Postby dennis1x1 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:19 am

not so sure about the erc.........i know you wouldnt know it from reading this forum (j/k) but hurricanes OCCASIONALLY weaken for reasons other than erc.......i better stop before i get in trouble..

anyway...it appears that the same dominant eye is still there....dont see concentric signs and havent heard it mentioned from the nhc or recon....could be...but not as obvious as the last couple.


hey yoda...i know youre an optimist when it comes to hurricane intensity but youre not as rabid as some....so how about a little bet......i think you just said 140 min at landfall? ill say 100......so o/u 120 is the bet. 1 meeeeeelion dollars.
Last edited by dennis1x1 on Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby yoda » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:21 am

Hmmm, latest recon could suggest a reduction in speed to 150 mph... but we will see what later recons say before the 5 AM advisory.
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NorthGaWeather

#7 Postby NorthGaWeather » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:21 am

NW eyewall has collapsed some it appears probaley a CERC about to take shape in a few hours.
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Anonymous

#8 Postby Anonymous » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:44 am

When an IRC has gone on so far, it has restrengthenned when complete and even been stronger than before--so we shall see ;)
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