Ivan looks NNW again ...

BReb · #1 Postby **BReb** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:54 pm

on the latest loops. Every bit eastward helps New Orleans, which I see as being the worst catastrophe scenario here.

Website · #2 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:58 pm

Lets not start the frame by frame analysis again. Lets just debate: Recon data, models, and advisories. Everytime we start up a thread about Sat. data, the comments get out of hand.

P.S. Not picking on you, just an observation from past experience. Thxs, Paul

BReb · #3 Postby **BReb** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:01 pm

God forbid we talk/argue about what the storm is actually doing.

I simply disagree with your assessment of whether this is a proper topic for discussion on this board. I suggest you and others of a like mind simply not click on any posts clearly labelled as a direction thread. And those of us who like talking about it can do so.

Mello1 · #4 Postby **Mello1** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:04 pm

BReb wrote:God forbid we talk/argue about what the storm is actually doing.

I simply disagree with your assessment of whether this is a proper topic for discussion on this board. I suggest you and others of a like mind simply not click on any posts clearly labelled as a direction thread. And those of us who like talking about it can do so.

I think the point that's been made previously is that it's very difficult to analyze trends from 1 or 2 frames. The mods have suggested waiting for at least 6 frames before validating a trend.

Website · #5 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:04 pm

Chill, my point was everytime a thread like this gets going (the intentions are good), it quickly digresses into name calling and petty arguments. If posters can stay on your topic, then I say its a good thread.

rtd2 · #6 Postby **rtd2** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:04 pm

Paul good advice and I normally dont reply on these "WOBBLE" OR JOG" POST but even the local met said as most of us know strong canes stair strp and ewc so he wouldnt rule out a nw,nnw or wnw during the track ...People sometimes are genuinly freaked by the slightest of wobbles-jogs...all which I think NHC takes this into account thanks again!

BigO · #7 Postby **BigO** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:05 pm

And I disagree with you sir about being overly alarmist with a scenario. The storm is just opening into the GOM and those of us in the potential strike zone are preparing for the storm without panic setting in.

Quite simply...click this.

rtd2 · #8 Postby **rtd2** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:06 pm

maybe this part is worth repeating!

"the local met said as most of us know strong canes stair strp and ewc so he wouldnt rule out a nw,nnw or wnw during the track "

Guest · #9 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:06 pm

omg omg it moved lol

Website · #10 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:08 pm

I rest my case: The bickering begins!

NOT RESPONDING TO ANYTHING BUT MOVEMENT THOUGHTS TO
KEEP ON TOPIC.

Guest · #11 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:10 pm

I don't care if people talk about the current movement, as long as it stays on one thread. Hey this one would be a great one!

southerngale · #12 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:12 pm

No bickering please! Ironically enough, I had just looked at sat. loop and thought the last few frames had a more westward component. Maybe our frames are different times or maybe just proof enough of why we should wait several more frames before thinking it's more than just stair-stepping.

#13 Postby **Windy** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:13 pm

FritzPaul wrote:I rest my case: The bickering begins!

Hey, that's party foul! You can't start the bickering, then complain about it... :wink:

Ixolib · #14 Postby **Ixolib** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:13 pm

NCstateWOLF wrote:I don't care if people talk about the current movement, as long as it stays on one thread. Hey this one would be a great one!

...and the saga continues.

Guest · #15 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:14 pm

Change the topic to Current Ivan movement and we all can continue this saga on one thread!

Guest · #16 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:22 pm

It does appear to be going north lol

Lockhart · #17 Postby **Lockhart** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:24 pm

It looks NNW to me. It looks right on schedule for the forecast spot.

Website · #18 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:25 pm

I've noticed tonight that the second floater gives a better loop.

The first floater has that crazy jerking motion which I attribute to the movement of the satelitte rather than the storm.

sfgal · #19 Postby **sfgal** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:31 pm

Longtime lurker here: I just wanted to say that I appreciate the frame-by-frame updates because, for some reason, I cannot get the Java to work on this incredibly expensive, brand-new computer that my husband installed this weekend (and he's away on business now, and I'm a computer nitwit who could not even begin to try to fix it). So -- thanks for discussing the loops (although, to be honest, sometimes I really cannot tell from the discussions which way it's going. Someone says w, someone else says nw, the bickering starts . . .) j/k

SwampDawg · #20 Postby **SwampDawg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:34 pm

Look at the whole picture. http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_07/anis.html

Ivan looks NNW again ...

Ivan looks NNW again ...

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