00Z GFDL HAS IT NOW HITTING...

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LowMug

00Z GFDL HAS IT NOW HITTING...

#1 Postby LowMug » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:07 pm

...the Biloxi, MS area

Not cool...

Also...all counties along the coast have cancelled school on Wednesday and some are a half day tomorrow...

Let the Northern Jogs continue...Ivan would like that road to run on a little bit more...

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_09.gif
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#2 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:11 pm

and as usual, the a98e is on crack...
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FritzPaul
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#3 Postby FritzPaul » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:13 pm

That A98 track looks like something from Frances's model runs. LOL.
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#4 Postby gatorbabe79 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:14 pm

nikolai wrote:and as usual, the a98e is on crack...


Yeah, what's up with that track? Do they possibly think there will be enough shear to stop it dead and send it to the SW?!!? Good for NOLA tho.
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LowMug

#5 Postby LowMug » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:15 pm

The other issue now at hand is that the BAMD and BAMM have shifted west as well...of course this is due to the GFS shifting west
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:17 pm

For the GFDL, that's the 18z run ... the public information is released 6-9 hours after the run ... interestingly enough ... depending on WHICH system you run on the 18z GFDL at bricker.met is two varying outputs ...

Run 18z GFDL for Ivan ... Biloxi, MS hit, swinging NE afterwards.
Run 18z GFDL for Eleven .. Further west in Central Louisiana, stalling and meandering back towards the west ...

For Ivan
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfd ... =Animation

For T.D. #11
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfd ... =Animation
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#7 Postby goodlife » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:17 pm

a biloxi hit is definitely better than a direct hit for us here in LA...BUT, that's still too close for comfort!
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