Don't like the looks of this.....

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Andy_L
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#21 Postby Andy_L » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:57 am

Nice day here too :) course in a couple of months i'll be buried in deep snow and you'll all still be nice n toasty lol
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banshee
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#22 Postby banshee » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:58 am

How can you tell by looking at the outer bands where the storm is going?
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kevin

#23 Postby kevin » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:01 am

How can you tell by looking at the outer bands where the storm is going?<<

You can't. But cheerleaders cheer the team even when its 49 to 0.
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#24 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:04 am

heavy rain right now watch out dixie might be right
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Ground_Zero_92
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#25 Postby Ground_Zero_92 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:06 am

kevin wrote:How can you tell by looking at the outer bands where the storm is going?<<

You can't. But cheerleaders cheer the team even when its 49 to 0.


And comments like this discourage people from posting what they think. Thanks
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#26 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:19 am

Thanks, Ground Zero. I didn't say my observation was etched in stone -- just an observation.

Those who live and die by the models are fooled just as often as anyone. Models are as ever changing as observations.
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#27 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:27 am

Dixie you know John Hope would see that too. Lets just hope for more western trends.
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#28 Postby Stormtrack03 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:29 am

smokin wrote:Dixie you know John Hope would see that too. Lets just hope for more western trends.



i don't think people living in Texas, LA, or MS are "hoping" for more western trends.
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#29 Postby Novelty's Worn Off » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:30 am

Agreed Capin' looks like typical stair step movement NW
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#30 Postby Stephanie » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:33 am

Ground_Zero_92 wrote:
kevin wrote:How can you tell by looking at the outer bands where the storm is going?<<

You can't. But cheerleaders cheer the team even when its 49 to 0.


And comments like this discourage people from posting what they think. Thanks


I agree.

The bands show that the system isn't as symetrical as it once was - it's alittle more oblong than circular. He doesn't have that "buzz saw" appearance and I think that the position of the outer bands are being "pulled" more to the north and east, therefore a sign that he's turning.
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dixiebreeze
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#31 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:36 am

Stephanie, hopefully he will maintain a more westerly trend, but I'm beginning to think landfall will be east of current forecasts.

The good Lord knows Floridians are NOT -removed- this storm! :roll:
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#32 Postby wxwatcher2 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:38 am

As much as I hate to admit it because I've been thinkng the West coast of the Peninsula was looking better, the outer rainband clouds of Ivan and it's more Northward movement have me leaning a little bit closer to my computer screen.

Hey, we're ready no matter what happens.

Ivan,,,,,,,just bring it on and let us get on with living
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#33 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:39 am

I agree with that, wxwatcher. We all want to get back to our lives -- at least for a while. Problem is, we now have Jeanne in the wings! :roll:
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#34 Postby melhow » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:55 am

I noticed a lunch that it's getting breezy here. The local satellite and radar are indicating what looks like the first outer bands in our area. Already. All of the newscasts here this morning were advertising how "out of the woods" we are, and most people that I talked to or overheard this morning are breathing a big sigh of relief, but I admit that I still feel really uneasy and jumpy. I just don't think that we (FL west coasters) should be so comfortable with the idea that the storm is not going to affect us right now. Tomorrow, maybe....
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#35 Postby cape_escape » Mon Sep 13, 2004 11:58 am

It's starting to get a bit breezy here in Cape Coral now. The local met said some rain is coming and our wnds are NE at 6 with gusts of 26. My concern is that the mets have been saying that we most likely won't get winds higher than the 20's. But ,we are already getting gusts near 30. I don't think Ivan will turn directly into SWFL, but I am now more concerned for Tampa and north of there. Another thing, some of the Mets who were pretty positive earlier that we were out of danger, now suddenly are saying that we need to keep a close eye on Ivan until Wednesday "just to make sure he doesn't do anything goofy."
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#36 Postby rtd2 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 12:11 pm

one thing is sure In a couple of hours when it enters the GOMEX IT WILL hit somewhere so the west, east -removed- will take on a different tone!I've watched ' canes for years and there Ideas about signs of turns and storms in the 'cane pointing one way or another as a pretail sign of Mvt. I dunno could be but its a fact that these MAJOR storms tend to stairstep and they like to stay on a general heading NOT SAYING THEY CANT TURN I REMEMBER FLOYD but as the rule... Plus as many of us know there is different varibles of degrees in direction ... is 275 wnw? what about 285? still wnw but the difference in the 2 can make a big diff in l/f Bottom line this storm is about to get landlocked and I dont wish that on anyone but its going to have to hit somewhere once it gets into the GOMEX! :( I salute the NHC'S work but I really think the models Have let them down as in the past couple of storms but even more on this one! I'm sticking with my track N.O. to P'cola
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#37 Postby seaswing » Mon Sep 13, 2004 12:57 pm

I'm with you Dixie! and yep, John Hope would have noticed this no doubt! We are currently getting rainbands coming in with gusty breezes and thunder.......
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#38 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:50 pm

Hey neighbor (Seaswing), I'd like to see a much better turn before I rest easier. Regardless, the GOM is very unpredictable.
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#39 Postby banshee » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:43 am

Thank you Stephanie.



kevin wrote:
How can you tell by looking at the outer bands where the storm is going?<<

You can't. But cheerleaders cheer the team even when its 49 to 0.


Why is it when someone is attempting to learn the science of weather either the question is not answered or there are comments such as this? Thank you for your encouragement Kevin.
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