Trough continues to dig -- pushing S of LA coast now

[calidoug]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

(Goes E, select Channel 3, WV loop on the right, click in Yellow box.)

Notice the last few frames before it starts over...

At first the trough paused moving S, but it's started digging more as it moves E.

[lilbump3000]

Well child if that trough is contiune to dig to the south well it still not having no kind of effect on ivan.

[LaBreeze]

We may see some pull on Ivan by the trough by the early morning or mid-morning hours on Monday.

[ConnMan]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[lilbump3000]

We will see child we will see.

[Stormcenter]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html

(Goes E, select Channel 3, WV loop on the right, click in Yellow box.)

Notice the last few frames before it starts over...

At first the trough paused moving S, but it's started digging more as it moves E.

Do you know how long we've been hearing about this "trough" or "whatever" pulling Ivan north? The problem is Ivan is not listening
at the moment. You may still get your wish so hang in there.

[B-Bear]

That trough doesn't look like it's making any forward progress to me.

[BillC]

lilbump,

Selfishly I hope I'm wrong, but I suspect by this time tomorrow night the story is going to be Ivan's more dramatic than expected turn to the north and northeast. Keep your guard up west central coast of Florida.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Just finished reading the NWS weather discussions for along the central gulf coast states. Sorry I don't have a link I am new at this. Anyway the just of the talk is the trough will be pulling out by the morning and maybe nudging Ivan a little northerly but not much. Does not sound like they believe in the NHC track as of know, but as we all know things can change

[amawea]

That trough is forecast to pull n.e. and it is too far north to affect Ivan's course yet. Ivan is moving so slow I think the trough may outrun him. We'll see. Amawea

[Sean in New Orleans]

I see it digging down some, but, I believe it is forecasted to retreat....everything is still up in the air as far as I'm concerned right now. Hopefully we will have a much better grip on this system tomorrow night. As for right now--I'm still sticking with Mobile to Destin with landfall...this could change tomorrow, though...too much to watch.

[lookout]

I see it digging down some, but, I believe it is forecasted to retreat....everything is still up in the air as far as I'm concerned right now. Hopefully we will have a much better grip on this system tomorrow night. As for right now--I'm still sticking with Mobile to Destin with landfall...this could change tomorrow, though...too much to watch.

A very reasonable forecast imo.

[Sanibel]

It's obviously in recurve now...

[SwampDawg]

WAFB Meteorologist in Baton Rouge, LA just said that the trough is expected to lift out.

[vbhoutex]

It's obviously in recurve now...

based on what?

[FritzPaul]

lilbump,

Selfishly I hope I'm wrong, but I suspect by this time tomorrow night the story is going to be Ivan's more dramatic than expected turn to the north and northeast. Keep your guard up west central coast of Florida.

right now there are a lot of people ignoring whats going on up stream that WILL turn ivan. although i dont think west central florida has any chance of seeing a landfall, new orleans isnt going to happen either. people screaming that the nhc doesnt know what they are doing because they dont have new orleans in their track is flat out laughable.

Then why are the probabilities for: Apalachicola, Pensacola, and New Orleans the same.

[SwampDawg]

Recurve?? i've got to get some sleep, because i'm not seeing that.

[lilbump3000]

Im going to sleep as well SwampDawg, i have had enough headace from ivan for today.

[BillC]

FritzPaul,

Remember ... wasn't that long ago that the bullseye was on Tampa Bay. The probabilities shift and sometimes the TPC (and the models) are a tad slow ... and sometimes they are accurate.

[Lindaloo]

Where are you located BillC?