has joe bastardi said anything recently?

[air360]

has anyone seen the most recent posting or discussion by Joe Bastardi? i dont have a accuweather subscription and was just curious as to what he has had to say lately about the storm

[hurricanedude]

yeah.....anywhere from Brownsville to Freeport

[Air Force Met]

yeah.....anywhere from Brownsville to Freeport

Not sure which Freeport you are talking about...Bahamas lol

Latest he has said:

SUNDAY 4:30 PM. IVAN THE TERRIBLE AIMS FURTHER WEST WITH LATE WEDNESDAY LANDFALL LIKELY BETWEEN PENSACOLA AND THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI.

[calidoug]

You mean, other than, "I was right again!!!!" ??

[air360]

haha
so he hasnt really had any other ideas than everyone else or the NHC

[FungusMoldlyColdcuts]

I believe Joe B said not to count out the Carolinas for landfall.

[PurdueWx80]

You guys are oh so funny w/ all the Joe bashing. I'm starting to wonder what's worse...him being a meat head or people constantly judging (negatively) his ideas. Anyway, the title of the post he made earlier has been posted above. He mentions going further west but will keep this window for the time being. He is also extremely concerned about Ivan being a Cat 4 or 5 at landfall, particularly if he makes landfall in the western half of his box.

[Steve]

Yeah, his 4:30 update narrowed it down to what he believes will be 3-6 degrees west of the Frances track. His early call was Apalachacola to the Mouth of the Mississippi River, but then he sucked up to model pressure and the fact that he lost his Frances initial landfall call from like 8 or so days out. So he's now narrowed it down to between Pensacola and the Mouth of the Mississippi. He also doesn't believe that the danger is ultimately further east but actuall further west. He thinks it's a Frances sized storm (maybe even Carla sized) and a Charley intensity. In the worst case, Ivan would rival Camile in intensity but not suprass her. He's been worried about his two central gulf zones (LA zone, MS, AL WFL zones) since his August landfall intensity update and upped their respective potentials accordingly (assuming a homegrown season I think).

The danger I think is not a shift back east...but perhaps even further west, in the track.

He does't believe in a "Liliesque" landfall where a Cat IV deteriorates into a Cat I or II at landfall.

Steve

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

From my other post!

Today's Discussion
POSTED: September 12, 2004 4:33 p.m.

Ivan will move through the Yucatan channel tomorrow and its projected path by accuweather.come takes a major hurricane perhaps as strong as cat 4 and in a worst case, cat 5, into the gulf coast between the mouth of the Mississippi and Pensacola later Wednesday and Wednesday night. The options of a more eastward path are lessening, and increasing danger appears to be further west with each moment. The large area of disturbed weather east of the windward islands will develop slowly on its way northwest the next couple of days, and may be a post Ivan threat in 7-10 days for the eastern sea-board