Movement of tropical cyclones versus NHC forecast track

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Do you think the side of the NHC official forecast track a tropical cyclone takes is continual?

Yes
12
29%
No
19
45%
Maybe
3
7%
Not Sure
8
19%
 
Total votes: 42
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ColdFront77

Movement of tropical cyclones versus NHC forecast track

#1 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:05 pm

"Everyone seems" to believe if a tropical system moves west or east of the National Hurricane Center's official forecast path it will follow that continually.
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stormraiser
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#2 Postby stormraiser » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:27 pm

Hmm, to be honest, Thomas, I can't figure out what you are asking.
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NateFLA
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#3 Postby NateFLA » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:27 pm

How about an "Under Certain Situations" option ;)
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#4 Postby NateFLA » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:28 pm

He is asking if people believe that a trend on one side of the other of the NHC's track (aka line) means the storm will continue to follow in that fashion....
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Innotech
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#5 Postby Innotech » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:31 pm

the NHC allows for such huge deviations that practically any movement is considered in their track. People thing the stormdeviatng from that exact black line means its not following track. Unless the storm continues for days totally opposite the direction forecasted, its not jumping track.
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:27 pm

Anyone else?
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canegrl04
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#7 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:30 pm

I'm sorry,but my pea brain still can't desipher exactly what is meant by the poll question :eek:
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ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 7:21 pm

You don't have a pea-sized brain, canegrl.

Take the current position and then the official forecast track of the center of the storm.....

Do you believe that if it trends west (to the left) of the track... it will remain on that side,
following to the left of the forecast track the National Hurricane Center indicates?

~ OR ~

Do you believe that if it trends east (to the right) of the track... it will remain on that side,
following to the right of the forecast track the National Hurricane Center indicates?
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