Central Florida letting guard down

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CocoaBill
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Central Florida letting guard down

#1 Postby CocoaBill » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:45 pm

I am sensing a growing sentiment in the area that Central FL is out of the woods on this one and it would take unbelievable forces to put the center across the central pennisula. Is this a true conclusion to have?
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feederband
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#2 Postby feederband » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:48 pm

I know same thing in Tampa. Did they already forget the sudden right hook charley did?
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#3 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:49 pm

we will know in 12 hours if any impacts will be felt in tpa
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#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:50 pm

See the difference with this a charley. Remember charley was picked up by that fall like strong cold front thats what turned him. Now this weak trough we have with him, it dont think its capable of doing that as it seems its starting to lift out to the NE.
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Opal storm

#5 Postby Opal storm » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:51 pm

It's not comin' here,no need to worry. :wink:
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#6 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:51 pm

Well, it's past Central Florida up...alot of dynamics would have to occur for it to hit Central Florida--none of which are presently there...so, I could see how Central Florida is taking it a little more easy. It's just like we did with Charley and Frances at certain points--we just knew it wasn't coming here.
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#7 Postby cape_escape » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:51 pm

We have pretty much been given the all clear here in SWFL too. One local met said we most likely will only see 20 MPH winds in Ft Myers. I sure hope they are right, but after Charley, I can't say I'm sold!
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#8 Postby melhow » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:53 pm

If you have not already, you may want to scroll down and read the "Tampa AFD" thread.
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#9 Postby rsm » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:55 pm

I want to know who all these people are that you guys are to talking to in Central Florida that are telling you they are letting their guard down. It's sort of assinine to say something like that unless you are on the phones taking a poll.

I live in Tampa, and though we see things trending westwards, all the news outlets here are saying we are not out of the woods yet.

Schools are stil closed Monday as are many businesses, including mine.

Many homes are boarded up here and people in my neighborhood are CLOSELY watching this thing, so try not to make such sweeping comments unless you know what you are talking about!!!!!
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#10 Postby feederband » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:55 pm

Well all I have to say it's not where they said it would be at this point , so no one can be certain of anything at this point.
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#11 Postby decgirl66 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:56 pm

I am in Central FL, and I am pretty convinced that we are ok. I will keep an eye on it, but at this point not as close as I did to Frances!!

The only thing we can do is keep watching!

Valerie :D
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#12 Postby SeaBrz_FL » Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:56 pm

Hi, CocoaBill -- I just left the Super Walmart on Merritt Isl and have to agree. Everyone was filling their carts with frozen food and perishables so I am thinking they are finally comfortable restocking ... at least those with power (74,000 homes in Brevard still w/o power).
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#13 Postby Downdraft » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:02 pm

Seminole County EOC just returned to Level 1. Leaves and vacations re-instated. We still have the flooding problem but we are no longer making plans for Ivan. I'm sorry someone else has to deal with this one but truthfully don't think people here could have taken another hit. Nerves are pretty ragged around Central Florida. It's time to heal and get back to normal.
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#14 Postby Nimbus » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:03 pm

The westerlies make Florida a slightly higher risk. If Ivan stalled in mid gulf for lack of steering currents the westerlies could push him east right over central Florida.
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#15 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:04 pm

I find it really interesting that schools are closed on Monday....Boy, are those kids going to have a pretty holiday to themselves--take 'em to the zoo!!
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ColdFront77

#16 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:11 pm

Nimbus wrote:The westerlies make Florida a slightly higher risk. If Ivan stalled in mid gulf for lack of steering currents the westerlies could push him east right over central Florida.

The westerlies have continued across the Gulf of Mexico, I would say in response to the feature across Texas and the western Gulf of Mexico... not to mention the shortwave moving southeastward toward the southeastern states.

Sean in New Orleans wrote:I find it really interesting that schools are closed on Monday....Boy, are those kids going to have a pretty holiday to themselves--take 'em to the zoo!!

School was cancelled for several of Florida's counties tomorrow because of the thinking that Hurricane Ivan would affect the area during or shortly after Monday. Also, some of these schools are going to be or are currently shelters from Hurricane Frances.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#17 Postby melhow » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:11 pm

All schools in the TPA area closed except Pasco County. So far. the Pinellas and surrounding schools are looking at 5 days added to the school year because of the hurricanes thus far.
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#18 Postby Downdraft » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:11 pm

Correction to my previous post we are at Level 3 - Normal Operations. I'm going out to fill the freezer with something besides ice. PIZZA
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#19 Postby Terry » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:14 pm

I just flew into the executive side of Orlando Int'l from the Abacos. Normally there is no one there, except staff and a person or two getting on/off private planes. Today (1:30 pm-ish) the place was flooded with FEMA people who had just been sent back in, after being sent out to wait out Ivan. That fact told me that no one expects Ivan to track near Orlando.
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ColdFront77

#20 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 3:22 pm

Why would FEMA personnel being at Orlando Executive Airport mean that they absolutely believe that Ivan isn't headed toward the Orlando vinicity?
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