will tropics be quiet after Ivan

[boca]

Is there anything on the horizon after Ivan?

[FungusMoldlyColdcuts]

east coast event in 9-12 days

[Innotech]

you never know, but usually after a major Cat 5 cane, the season is pretty much spent.

[wasup254]

where is it coming from??????

[lilbump3000]

I doubt ivan will finish this season.

[Innotech]

if this was any other season Id say Ivan is the end, but this season likes to produce majors.

[whc]

I found this posted on another message board.


ECTV Urgent News Flash

Within the last hour a large M-class flare has occurred. I expect to see the Kp Index shoot up to 6 or 7 within hours. I would suggest those living in the lower east coast from North Carolina to monitor their local news and weather by the hour.





I have received word from a credible source that a “new” tropical storm is being formed at this very moment a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolinal. This news has now been verified by NOAA.



Satellite video here: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html



I have been told this newly forming storm will be dragged by ‘Ivan’. Its course will not be known for several hours. It has a preliminary course towards North Carolina, but a cone of impact can range from North Florida to Massachusetts. Ivan is having a major effect both in its early formation and in its ultimate destination.



Folks, this could get nasty very quickly. Stay tuned for further advisement and news updates.

[Wannabewxman79]

What are they talking about? There doesn't look to be anything close by anywhere except that ULL and there is no convection there. Plus it is moving to the North now......

[KWT]

[Aquawind]

I could use a couple of quiet weekends of football and naps..Unfortunately the season is already going to linger well after November 30th for many Floridians..Ivans westard movement has allowed me to enjoy opening NFL Sunday today and Dawg Gone It!! I am gonna do it! If you noticed this week I was forecasted for a nasty blast a few times this week and Sunday Football was far from my mind..I am considering myself lucky today..Hope I can watch the Monday Night Game with as much enthusiasm..

[x-y-no]

I found this posted on another message board.


ECTV Urgent News Flash

Within the last hour a large M-class flare has occurred. I expect to see the Kp Index shoot up to 6 or 7 within hours. I would suggest those living in the lower east coast from North Carolina to monitor their local news and weather by the hour.

Ummm ... What are solar flares supposed to have to do with hurricanes?

I have received word from a credible source that a “new” tropical storm is being formed at this very moment a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolinal. This news has now been verified by NOAA.



Satellite video here: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

That circolation is the mid-to-upper level low which we have been discussing for a few days on this board. I don't see any indication that this is deepening to the surface layer. Such things are possible, so this needs to be watched, but there's absolutely no reason to be alarmed at the moment.

I have been told this newly forming storm will be dragged by ‘Ivan’. Its course will not be known for several hours. It has a preliminary course towards North Carolina, but a cone of impact can range from North Florida to Massachusetts. Ivan is having a major effect both in its early formation and in its ultimate destination.

Ummm ... no. Ivan had nothing to do with the fomation of this low. It has stopped its westward movement, and will likely be picked up and moved northeast. And as it has not deepened to the surface and has no significant convection associated with it, I wouldn't worry too much yet.

Folks, this could get nasty very quickly. Stay tuned for further advisement and news updates.

Good generic advice for the hurricane season.

[FungusMoldlyColdcuts]

two things. I am not a professional met, I do other things for my living. But I did goto college and studied atmospheric science with some great mets and professors. Anyway, my gut instinct is there will be an east coast event which we are seeing develop near and to the east of the Antilles. Once there is some more ridging asserting itself north of this area of disturbed weather - and the ULL eventually scoots out behind Ivan and whatever else is leftover -this area is going to be in a 'moderately' favorable environment to go- and I do believe that with the setup upstream - we're going to have to watch this area very closely....]

just my opinion and again I dont do this for a living, just giving my gut instinct

[Galvestongirl]

I think that after Ivan the season will settle somewhat, there may be a couple develope, but, nothing major. As for my neck of the woods, our season is pretty much over unless something weird happens, and with this hurricane season....weird is what it has been all about.

[Brent]

What on earth are you talking about WHC?

[whc]

Brent, I have no idea what this means. I was hoping people with more knowledge than me could tell me if this means anything at all.

There was not a link to this article.

[Brent]

Well... first of all:

Within the last hour a large M-class flare has occurred. I expect to see the Kp Index shoot up to 6 or 7 within hours. I would suggest those living in the lower east coast from North Carolina to monitor their local news and weather by the hour.

That has absolutely zero to do with weather.

It's a bunch of junk.

[whc]

Found this with a link at the bottom.

Urgent News Flash – Large M-Class Flare Has Just Occurred;
New Tropical Storm Forming

Mitch Battros
Producer – Earth Changes TV
September 12, 2004 12:38 AM EDT

ECTV Urgent News Flash – Large M-Class Flare Has Just Occurred; New Tropical Storm Forming
by Mitch Battros - ECTV Within the last hour a large M7-Class flare has occurred.
( http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html )
I expect to see the Kp Index shoot up to 6 or 7 within hours. I would suggest those living in the lower east coast from Florida to North Carolina to monitor their local news and weather by the hour.

Equation:Sunspots => Solar Flares => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros)

This Just In… I have received word from a credible source that a “new” tropical storm is being formed at this very moment a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. This news has now been verified by NOAA
http://www.earthchangestv.com/emailer/a ... -loop.html

Satellite video here:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

I have been told this newly forming storm will be dragged by ‘Ivan’. Its course will not be known for several hours. It has a preliminary course towards North Carolina, but a cone of impact can range from North Florida to Massachusetts. Ivan is having a major effect both in its early formation and in its ultimate destination. Folks, this could get nasty very quickly. Stay tuned for further advisement and news updates.

http://www.earthchangestv.com

[vbhoutex]

NOt s oquick on the debunk of solar flares and their affect on the weather Brent. I am not versed in it at all, however we have had some discussion of their effects right hear at storm2k a few times.

Past that, the discussion above by x-y-no is excellent. There is nothing to this post that was found at another board. It is simply someone trying to scare some people for no reason-a troll in otherwords.

And do not expect the season to quiet down after Ivan. We just passed the peak of the season Friday. And how many majors or CAT5's you have during a season does not make for a quieter season later, unless you are talking about another storm following immediately in the wake of the stronger storm. Them the 2nd storm might be affected by the cooled waters left behind by the bigger storm, but not for a long length of time.

[Stephanie]

That low pressure system off the Carolina coastline has been noted several times on here regarding it's affect on the ridge and it's affect on Ivan. Rob Guarino from Fox News Philadelphia pointed it out last night and said it seems to be slowing down the front that just went through here. You could see the front stalling off the Jersey coastline last night. It's a stubborn little bugger!

[RunsInTheRain]

"Urgent News Flash – Large M-Class Flare Has Just Occurred;
New Tropical Storm Forming "

- People - humor does wonder for stress, even weather stress.

I thought that was funny. Thanks.