http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 00!!!step/
A smidge to the west a tiny bit from the last track. Still putting it through the FL/AL border area.
-Eric
New Euro.. same FL/Al hit from last run...
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The GFS at 00z also had Ivan going into the panhandle of FL.
Something i just noticed with it though that you should watch for.
If... IF... that ULL over the atlantic doesn't allow the high to building beneath it pushing it north... than the storm will not ride straight up the western florida coast just offshore. All the globals are thinking to one degree or another that the high should be creaping south around the ULL and pushing it north and then east. If instead the ULL stays ontop or between the north, and south sections as it is now... and possibly moves a little closer to Fl. It has the potential to allow Ivan to move more North easterly eventually. Which would be good for you, but not the people of north-central florida, or the panhandle.
-Eric
Something i just noticed with it though that you should watch for.
If... IF... that ULL over the atlantic doesn't allow the high to building beneath it pushing it north... than the storm will not ride straight up the western florida coast just offshore. All the globals are thinking to one degree or another that the high should be creaping south around the ULL and pushing it north and then east. If instead the ULL stays ontop or between the north, and south sections as it is now... and possibly moves a little closer to Fl. It has the potential to allow Ivan to move more North easterly eventually. Which would be good for you, but not the people of north-central florida, or the panhandle.
-Eric
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