ULL NE of Lesser antilles could become a major player
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
ULL NE of Lesser antilles could become a major player
needs to be watched very closely as this could very well through a wrench in the forecast...Ivan at this point is just barely crawling. However, I'm beginning to really pay close attention to the ULL heading west as this *could* become a key player down the road by eroding the ridge enough which in turn could make a huge difference in the final outcome of wher France make landfall....
0 likes
Re: ULL NE of Lesser antilles could become a major player
Vortex wrote:needs to be watched very closely as this could very well through a wrench in the forecast...Ivan at this point is just barely crawling. However, I'm beginning to really pay close attention to the ULL heading west as this *could* become a key player down the road by eroding the ridge enough which in turn could make a huge difference in the final outcome of wher France make landfall....
Poor vortex...
i am having the same problem as you, three big storms in relatively the same area in a little over three weeks... you wrote where france made landfall.... lol Ivan.. 
-Eric
0 likes
-
Rainband
Re: ULL NE of Lesser antilles could become a major player
You meant Ivan rightVortex wrote:needs to be watched very closely as this could very well through a wrench in the forecast...Ivan at this point is just barely crawling. However, I'm beginning to really pay close attention to the ULL heading west as this *could* become a key player down the road by eroding the ridge enough which in turn could make a huge difference in the final outcome of wher France make landfall....
0 likes
-
PurdueWx80
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 2720
- Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
- Location: Madison, WI
- Contact:
Yes, this upper low to the north of the Greater Antilles has been watched and commented on by many here. At one point it was generally thought that the western edge would be eroded enough by this low to allow Ivan to turn north. That obviously hasn't happened yet. The low appears to be filling, and it is actually moving to the WNW now. It is still slowly eroding the ridge...but at a snail's pace. Every model I've seen now rebuilds the ridge first to the SE of Ivan then to the E and even NE. This appears very reasonable given the upper low's movement, and w/ Ivan imputting so much heat into the ridge, thereby acting to strengthen it. The massive trough digging into the West Coast also implies ridging in the east and is another key player here.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: DESTRUCTION5, MetroMike and 322 guests