Not a SE FL storm

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boca
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Not a SE FL storm

#1 Postby boca » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:56 am

I'm thankful that Ivan will not be a SE FL storm,but who knows for sure.
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crazycajuncane
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#2 Postby crazycajuncane » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:58 am

Ask God.... Only he knows?
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calidoug
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#3 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:00 am

Irresponsible headline. This thread should be deleted.
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AL Chili Pepper
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#4 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:13 am

I wouldn't say that quite yet boca. The trend is your friend, but man, there's been a lot of trends.
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Foladar

#5 Postby Foladar » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:14 am

I think Miami area and east coast is pretty much safe..nothing points to us anymore even
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#6 Postby Juno Beach » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:16 am

One of our local mets, John Matthews (who's been around for a LONG time) seemed worried about a possible bounce right off the mountains in Cuba. He stressed very clearly that he didn't seem we were out of the woods.

The other two WPB mets seemed to think we were in the clear.
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#7 Postby Lockhart » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:19 am

Although I think the odds are in our favor, it's definitely premature to suggest we're definitely safe. Let's see where Ivan hits Cuba and which direction he starts going after that.
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#8 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:24 am

Miami is definitely not "safe," yet. However, watching the track of Ivan this evening, I would think it would be OK to breath a small sigh of relief. Some things become pretty obvious as you watch the system. I started breathing those sighs of relief with Charley and Frances when it became pretty much common sense through viewing satellite that the systems really weren't going to make drastic turns and come to New Orleans. But, things are certainly looking better for the Miami area, IMO.
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#9 Postby Lockhart » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:27 am

Exactly. I feel better, and I'm not expecting it to come here, but I'm still going to watch closely.
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Foladar

#10 Postby Foladar » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:30 am

I'll watch but I know clearly it will give us tropical storms winds at most, like Frances did, another dud for me in Florida City / Homestead :|
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#11 Postby Deenac813 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:01 am

Foladar wrote:I'll watch but I know clearly it will give us tropical storms winds at most, like Frances did, another dud for me in Florida City / Homestead :|


I will take the duds.. no problem.. I am certainly feeling better this morning. Maybe I will not wake up at 5:00am tomorrow to check the advisory.. It would be a first since I have been waking up automatically!
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rbaker

#12 Postby rbaker » Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:32 am

way too premature with ivan moving at 8 mph and its still se of your location. Bad move to think it can't make landfall in s fla. Do you remember Charley?
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#13 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:36 am

rbaker wrote:way too premature with ivan moving at 8 mph and its still se of your location. Bad move to think it can't make landfall in s fla. Do you remember Charley?


charley, irene, andrew, debby and even ivan that looked like a sure bet to hit jamaica....the list goes on and on..there is a good reason nhc has the cone, its real and its based on statisitics, they dont sit there and say okay today the cone will be this. weak steering makes it even a bigger problem. lets just watch and hope it doesnt hit the area you live in.
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#14 Postby LadyStorm » Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:38 am

My thoughts exactly. Some of the models still have it as a crossover, similar to Charley. It all depends on the timing of sinking fronts. Everyone should keep an eye on this storm. He may be a catagory 5 at the time of landfall. You cannot relax until the storm is well north of you.


rbaker wrote:way too premature with ivan moving at 8 mph and its still se of your location. Bad move to think it can't make landfall in s fla. Do you remember Charley?
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#15 Postby ObsessedMiami » Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:55 am

Deenac813 wrote:
Foladar wrote:I'll watch but I know clearly it will give us tropical storms winds at most, like Frances did, another dud for me in Florida City / Homestead :|


I will take the duds.. no problem.. I am certainly feeling better this morning. Maybe I will not wake up at 5:00am tomorrow to check the advisory.. It would be a first since I have been waking up automatically!


I am beginning to realixe the ridiculousness of waking up at 5 to check a forecast that is 72+ away. If you are prepared, I think obsessing on the undulations of a storm is a waste of your energies. BE aware? of course.. but making your life's moods dependant on the GFS or UKMET? Forget it.
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#16 Postby Deenac813 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:04 am

[/quote]

I am beginning to realixe the ridiculousness of waking up at 5 to check a forecast that is 72+ away. If you are prepared, I think obsessing on the undulations of a storm is a waste of your energies. BE aware? of course.. but making your life's moods dependant on the GFS or UKMET? Forget it.[/quote]

I agree but now if I could only make my body not get up automatically. I had everyone coming into work this morning to finish things up & close the office but I called them and told them not to come. I can always do it tomorrow or Monday if need be. Be safe everyone!
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