Take a look at this...

[Windfall]

Please view this WV loop. There is no denying it...an area of low pressure is moving towards Florida from the Atlantic. In addition, the trough in the eastern GOM seems to be moving a little more east, introducing dry air into the western panhandle (Pensacola). Is it just me, or am I seeing Ivan's cone of error being shifted more towards the right.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

Ivan's forward speed has considerably slowed down...this may allow enough time for the ULL from the central Atlantic to move closer to Florida, thus weakening the ridge.

People should stop concentrating solely on what is going on right now (i.e. wobble watching). The developing weather patterns will probably have their way. The models keep changing and will most definitely change again. The primary target now looks to be Florida. Dry air has prevailed over Texas, Louisiana, and the extreme western panhandle. Thus, Louisiana and even Mississippi are looking less probable. Folks, there is no denying it.

[ericinmia]

I agree with your comments...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=43820
-Eric

[MiaMom]

Windfall, how far to the right? Thanks from a fellow Miamian

[Sean in New Orleans]

I've stayed with Florida, personally. I'm convinced this storm will hit between Pensacola and Panama City...I'm not nudging on this opinion, yet..been the same for 2 days.

[Stormcenter]

Please view this WV loop. There is no denying it...an area of low pressure is moving towards Florida from the Atlantic. In addition, the trough in the eastern GOM seems to be moving a little more east, introducing dry air into the western panhandle (Pensacola). Is it just me, or am I seeing Ivan's cone of error being shifted more towards the right.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

Ivan's forward speed has considerably slowed down...this may allow enough time for the ULL from the central Atlantic to move closer to Florida, thus weakening the ridge.

People should stop concentrating solely on what is going on right now (i.e. wobble watching). The developing weather patterns will probably have their way. The models keep changing and will most definitely change again. The primary target now looks to be Florida. Dry air has prevailed over Texas, Louisiana, and the extreme western panhandle. Thus, Louisiana and even Mississippi are looking less probable. Folks, there is no denying it.

You guys remind of the Carolina guys saying Frances would make landfall on the SC/NC coastline even though he was moving into central Florida.
The models are basically now showing a changing pattern and south Florida is looking less likely as a landfall location. Everyone in the Miami
area should be happy to read this possible change.