Models

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charleston_hugo_veteran
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Models

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 09, 2004 6:59 pm

I know these things change but I don't like them constantly staying bunched together! :eek:

http://english.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200409_model.html
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#2 Postby ilmc172pilot » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:01 pm

agree, they are pretty close together.....showing a florida strike then heading up the east cost for a possible SC or NC second strike....scary :cry:
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#3 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:02 pm

I was just looking at those. They've been pretty consistent throughout the day today with just slight shifts in the tips of the lines....not good news for S. FL IMO.....
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#4 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:02 pm

well gettin close to post time, they better start agreeing one way or another... gezzzzzzzz why do we even look at them..?


GENTLEMEN........TIS TIME TO START YOUR ENGINES!!
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#5 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:07 pm

GO NOGAPS!!!!!!! LOL
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#6 Postby wsquared77 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:41 pm

does anyone know how often they run the models?
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#7 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:46 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:GO NOGAPS!!!!!!! LOL


LOL...it makes it seem as if Ivan has a date with Louisville, KY at the end of the period.
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#8 Postby LowMug » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:47 pm

These models are 13 and 7 hours old respectively...

Things change...remember they all use to have a severe curve over the peninsula...

With this storm the models are at most accurate to 72 hrs...or 4 hrs if it is the GFS
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#9 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:48 pm

LOL - I think, according to the NOGAPS, Ivan is beelining it to Canada to avoid being stopped by U.S. Immigration!
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#10 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:50 pm

NOGAPS was run the earliest today. It'll be interesting to see if that one falls into line later.
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#11 Postby B-Bear » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:11 pm

I missed the 8 PM, but according to that track map the SHIPS now has Ivan at a category 5 until landfall. Anybody else notice that?
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#12 Postby B-Bear » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:13 pm

Edit above post: It stays at cat 5 AFTER it goes back up to cat 5 in the next 24 hrs.
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