IMO, Florida is looking to be in better shape hour by hour...
East Coast looks safe as action should be well West with worst from Panhandle back towards Lou...sorry NO, MS, Bama.
Certainly Looking Like A GOM Cane
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HouTXmetro
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I don't know about that...our local guys here are telling us this is not a threat to us....and the nhc track takes it right into southern florida....
Many local station's mets just repeat what the NHC says which is why I like to watch Bob Breck, he gives their forecasts and then tells what he thinks it could do also. We all know by now that the NHC's forecasts this far out usually has many errors, which is expected. No one in the GOM is off the hook, by no means, just the same with FL. I'm hoping this thing tracks right across the yucutan and keeps a wwnw motion to spare the US, although it would spell disaster for Mexico.
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vbhoutex
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THERE IS NO WHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST, IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN, IN FLORIDA, OR ALONG THE EAST COAST THAT IS OUT OF THE WOODS YET!!!
BEF, if you are going to make such bold predictions, please back them up with sound reasoning.
We are at least 4 days from a US landfall. If we have a landfall that early it obviously would be a South Florida landfall.
Current guidance suggests that Ivan will be making a more Northwesterly turn that would put Florida once again under the gun. For their sake I hope not. However, no matter where Ivan goes from here some populated areas will be impacted. That is very unfortunate since he is nothing less than a Monster at this point and there is nothing I see that would diminish his strength prior to his next landfall except normal fluctuations.
I see a set up currently similar to what we had with Isabel last year about this point in her trek across the Atlantic, except that everything is several hunded miles further West and South. I am talking the overall pattern. If I am right and the pattern holds this would suggest a NO to FL panhandle landfall scenario. Imo if this type of scenario happens we could be looking at at least a strong CAT4 hurricane at landfall. This is JMHO based on what I see now and my experience.
BEF, if you are going to make such bold predictions, please back them up with sound reasoning.
We are at least 4 days from a US landfall. If we have a landfall that early it obviously would be a South Florida landfall.
Current guidance suggests that Ivan will be making a more Northwesterly turn that would put Florida once again under the gun. For their sake I hope not. However, no matter where Ivan goes from here some populated areas will be impacted. That is very unfortunate since he is nothing less than a Monster at this point and there is nothing I see that would diminish his strength prior to his next landfall except normal fluctuations.
I see a set up currently similar to what we had with Isabel last year about this point in her trek across the Atlantic, except that everything is several hunded miles further West and South. I am talking the overall pattern. If I am right and the pattern holds this would suggest a NO to FL panhandle landfall scenario. Imo if this type of scenario happens we could be looking at at least a strong CAT4 hurricane at landfall. This is JMHO based on what I see now and my experience.
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Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
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Stormcenter
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skysummit wrote:goodlife wrote:I don't know about that...our local guys here are telling us this is not a threat to us....and the nhc track takes it right into southern florida....
Aren't the Saints playing at the dome this weekend? Maybe they're just hoping people will go.
Yes they are. I will driving in to go to the game with my brother.
I sure hope this will be settled by then.
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