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#1 Postby **tronbunny** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 1:38 am

My lord, they must be making telephone calls at 2am.
I can just imagine falling over eachother to get every tidbit of data.
Looks historic to me.
And how about the recon folks.... half are saying "no thanks" another half saying "me first".

#2 Postby **ncbird** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 1:41 am

Me thinks they better put an extra supply of bags on the recon planes for those poor guys and gals who have to go out in this one.

#3 Postby **tronbunny** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 1:58 am

ericinmia wrote:Appears on same track as GFDL...

-Eric

When will the alarms go off?
36 hour warning?
Is that enough?

#4 Postby **wlfpack81** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 2:07 am

I think watches up this Fri/Sat if conditions stay roughly the same with the forecasted movement. 0Z NOGAPS has Keys landfall near 13/00z (7pm Sunday), Tampa Landfall near 14/00z (7pm Monday). NOGAPS has the storm riding the w-ern coastline as it heads towards Tampa. Would be devastating. So the ECMWF seems similar in the NOGAPS to the track except ECMWF seems to have it near the Keys a day later (14/00z - 7pm Monday).

#5 Postby **tronbunny** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:56 am

Bump for Keys evac..

#6 Postby **alicia-w** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:07 am

pardon my ignorance, but even after all this time on the board, I still dont know what "bump" means....

#7 Postby **Mattie** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:10 am

just adds a post to get a topic that has been inactive to the top for viewing

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:28 am

The cone is huge it could be in any area on that cone. The keys are hard to evacuate so that why the early start :wink:

canegrl04 · #9 Postby **canegrl04** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:34 am

If it hits S.Fl,that will mean every side of Florida will have been visited by a hurricane :eek:

I just hope at least Ivan will not be a very strong hurricane by that time.,but my head tells me he will probably be a cat 4 by that time

Possum Trot · #10 Postby **Possum Trot** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:57 am

Tampa Bay area takes a long time to evac too.

Website · #11 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 8:58 am

Hurricane Watches won't go up until 36 to 48 hours before tropical storm force winds are forecast to arrive. However, that does mean they can't evacuate sooner.

#12 Postby **tronbunny** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 9:00 am

I know that the forecast is not terribly reliable more than 72 hours out.
Would/should they make people alert to it any earlier?

#13 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 9:02 am

It's a long drive with no traffic from Key West to
the mainland, I can't imagine how bad it would be
in full traffic on a two lane road. That's probably why they estimate 3 days for evacuation of the keys.

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