Ivan Advisories

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NorthGaWeather

#1581 Postby NorthGaWeather » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:46 am

Actually the better models have shifted left.
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#1582 Postby ncbird » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:47 am

OH MY!!!!!
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#1583 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:47 am

NorthGaWeather wrote:Actually the better models have shifted left.


Well do you consider the ECMWF a good model?
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#1584 Postby Pebbles » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:48 am

Mommy I need a hug now too!!! :(
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#1585 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:48 am

DAVE440 wrote:ACK!!!

:eek:

I just looked at the models and posted.

Didn't get the 2am tho. NHC still shows 11pm advisory. Where did u find the update at 145 am?


Always go to http://www.wunderground.com/tropical

It updates about 15-20 mins faster and I among others can get the statements there faster!

BTW... Welcome to the board!
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weatherlover427

#1586 Postby weatherlover427 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:49 am

Eep. :eek: This one better go away.
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#1587 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:49 am

"Ivan the Terrible" indeed...
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#1588 Postby DAVE440 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:49 am

Idunno....

the euro was shifting last time along with all other models...but wasnt that
far off....

Still has Ivan scooting up the SE coast of FL if not impacting

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2004083100!!!step
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Matthew5

#1589 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:50 am

This is as strong as Andrew in closing in on Mitch! :eek:
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#1590 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:51 am

The 00z ECMWF run will come out between 3:00 to 3:30 AM... oh boy.. long night ahead.. :eek:
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#1591 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:52 am

Matthew5 wrote:This is as strong as Andrew in closing in on Mitch! :eek:


And equal to Isabel of last year!!! (I think) :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#1592 Postby MBismyPlayground » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:52 am

Poor Jamacia :(
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#1593 Postby btsgmdad » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:53 am

WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#1594 Postby DAVE440 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:54 am

I have wxunderground for my nexrad radar link. dont usually use it for advisories. Will do that tho now cuz they apparently get em a bit earlier. Thanks....

Btw.... looking at that latest advisory...and sat photos....

I think i need to go out immediately and buy more TP....cuz im about to

:eek: :oops: my pants!!!!
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#1595 Postby BUD » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:54 am

I feel sorry for anyone in his way!!!
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#1596 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:55 am

DAVE440 wrote:I have wxunderground for my nexrad radar link. dont usually use it for advisories. Will do that tho now cuz they apparently get em a bit earlier. Thanks....

Btw.... looking at that latest advisory...and sat photos....

I think i need to go out immediately and buy more TP....cuz im about to

:eek: :oops: my pants!!!!



LOL!!! Yes, that is correct... :eek: :oops:
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Matthew5

#1597 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:56 am

If this thing hits Jamica it is going to do what Mitch done to Central America. I feel very sorry for the poor people there. Lets Prey to god that it moves south of Jamica.
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NorthGaWeather

#1598 Postby NorthGaWeather » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:56 am

UKMET also shifted west. I do consider the Euro better than the BAMM and AVN which is actually the GFS.
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#1599 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:58 am

:(
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#1600 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 09, 2004 12:58 am

NorthGaWeather wrote:UKMET also shifted west. I do consider the Euro better than the BAMM and AVN which is actually the GFS.


I see.. well did you know (just telling you) that the 12z ECMWF, for 3 straight runs... took IVAN and moved it into S FL.. then into the Carolinas? Those runs are very interesting... and we shall see what the 00z ECMWF says in about an hour or so.
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