Stupid Euro Model

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MWatkins
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Stupid Euro Model

#1 Postby MWatkins » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:14 am

I said I would NOT wait up for this...but once again I have lied. What does this paticular model have against the entire state of FL?

Image

Then:

Image

MW
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Re: Stupid Euro Model

#2 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:17 am

MWatkins wrote:I said I would NOT wait up for this...but once again I have lied. What does this paticular model have against the entire state of FL?

Image

Then:

Image

MW

Mike wich model do you think the NHC will follow? And wich model do think should be followed?
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#3 Postby MSRobi911 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:18 am

Mike,

It looks like the same ones from last week....ya think it is stuck?

:)
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#4 Postby Windsong » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:21 am

Mike how well did this model perform on Frances and Charley? I used to know, but I forgot. Too little sleep these last weeks make for a fuzzy mind.

Really missed not having access to Storm2K during the evacuation. My place of business was heavily damaged and is without power, but I was hoping for a paycheck before the next evacuation...
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#5 Postby Ground_Zero_92 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:22 am

OMG!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:

Mike is there a presedent for a state to get hit by a hurricane three times in 4-6 weeks?
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#6 Postby ericinmia » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:24 am

It was very acurate and consistant with frances over 14 runs out...
thats about 7 days! it ended up being off by mabye 50 or so miles on eventual landfall... all the while showing almost the exact same route through south-central fla. except for one hiccup into the carolina's...
-Eric
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Matthew5

#7 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:24 am

The Ecmwf made 13 runs in was 90 percent closer than the flip floping Mrf/Gfdl.
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#8 Postby ericinmia » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:28 am

Damn this euro is not looking good...

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 00!!!step/

-Eric
Last edited by ericinmia on Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby T'Bonz » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:29 am

^
NOOOOOOOoooooooooooooooooooo!
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#10 Postby Windsong » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:29 am

Jeez guys...that's what I thought. I was hoping that memory was a fatigue induced hallucination.
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#11 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:30 am

Ground_Zero_92 wrote:OMG!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:

Mike is there a presedent for a state to get hit by a hurricane three times in 4-6 weeks?


If you count Bonnie too (TS), 3 tropical systems have hit Florida in what 3 weeks? If you end up adding Ivan to the mix, 4 systems (3 canes) in about a month's time. :eek:
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#12 Postby ericinmia » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:31 am

^^^ Aaahh shucks thats nothing...


:eek: ----> runs for central plains states...
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Derek Ortt

#13 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:14 am

the ruro had charley in galveston when it was north of iceland... only a 10,000 mile 5 day forecast error
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#14 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:17 am

derek wich Model do you like at this time? I think something between the NOGAPS and UKMET.
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#15 Postby BUD » Wed Sep 08, 2004 5:21 am

Where does that model show 2nd land fall at or near???? :eek: :eek: AND what time does this model run again???
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#16 Postby adelphi_sky » Wed Sep 08, 2004 6:26 am

Seems interesting the very fact that certain models become popular or the "chosen" model shows just how inconsistant they are. We still have a long way to go before we can depend on one model alone to be 95% correct from start to finish.
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#17 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 6:27 am

I put alittle more faith in the EURO model than any other.They did well with Frances,so if they are saying Florida again,I have to believe them :(
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