Guessing that Recon Found...

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MWatkins
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Guessing that Recon Found...

#1 Postby MWatkins » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:27 am

Looks like there may be some transmission problems from recon...but judging from the model runs...the hurricane may be a tad east of the 2am advisory...but with a pressure down to 947mb...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGHUR.0409080625

MW
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Matthew5

#2 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:31 am

947 millibars wow!
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#3 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:32 am

The pressure was 946mb at 2am.
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#4 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:34 am

The 2am Advisory still said 950 millibars. It is now down to 947? That is 6 yes 6 milibars weaker then hurricane Charley.
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#5 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:36 am

repeating the 2 am AST position...12.3 N... 64.1 W. Movement
toward...west near 17 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 946 mb.
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#6 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:36 am

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...12.3 N... 64.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.

Then they must of changed it?
Last edited by Matthew5 on Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Guessing that Recon Found...

#7 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:37 am

MWatkins wrote:Looks like there may be some transmission problems from recon...but judging from the model runs...the hurricane may be a tad east of the 2am advisory...but with a pressure down to 947mb...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGHUR.0409080625

MW

Do you think the GFS is on crack again? if so that probably means that the GFDL and the above suite are useless. I think the NHC will follow a UKMET type track, since it is in the middle of the NOGAPS,CMC solution.
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#8 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:45 am

hmmm Matthew, I don't know. I refreshed and it's still 946mb.
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#9 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:46 am

I understand now they changed it from 950 to 946 millibars. :)
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#10 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:47 am

Ah ok ;)
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