0Z Canadian Global: GOM

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montrealboy
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0Z Canadian Global: GOM

#1 Postby montrealboy » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:07 pm

84 hrs

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montrealboy
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#2 Postby montrealboy » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:07 pm

96 hrs

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Last edited by montrealboy on Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby montrealboy » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:08 pm

108 hrs

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#4 Postby montrealboy » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:09 pm

120 hrs

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#5 Postby montrealboy » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:10 pm

144 hrs

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#6 Postby mobilebay » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:11 pm

That and the Eta track seems alot better to me. The GFS is on the exact track as the 18Z through 96 Hours.
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#7 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:12 pm

Now that is what I call consistency...4 runs in a row of the EXACT same track. I love this model...but if you live in coastal LA/MS/AL or the FL panhandle, it probably brings tears to your eyes.
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#8 Postby montrealboy » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:12 pm

168 hrs

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#9 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:14 pm

Ok, now this should scare people - at 144 hrs. the pressure is 981, 24 hours later, well inland it is 979. I don't think it takes a genius to figure out that somewhere in there before landfall, the pressure is as low as can be. Given that it is a global model, don't pay too much attention to the actual depth, just the relative pressure. This looks like Lili all over again w/o weakening prior to landfall. :(
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#10 Postby WeatherNLU » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:27 pm

Boy, that's a scary run for me in New Orleans.
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#11 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:31 pm

Purdue...Any chance that Ivan gets so far West that the high pushes it towards Mexico or even Central America??
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#12 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:32 pm

You are talking about SE LA coast, not SW LA coast, right PurdueWx80? :?:
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#13 Postby TS Zack » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:34 pm

This early Yes, The likelyhood of me getting this storm is the same as you over there in Texas. Just wait and see buddy.
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#14 Postby crazycajuncane » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:39 pm

I live in South Central Louisiana and I'm interested in the track this Hurricane is taking. This one does not look good for Southeast Louisiana, but being on the weat side of the storm is usually a good thing
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#15 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Sep 07, 2004 11:42 pm

Right crazycajuncane, always best to be on the west side - Looks like central and western GOM staying fairly quiet.
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#16 Postby FritzPaul » Wed Sep 08, 2004 12:10 am

:( :( :(
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#17 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:17 am

as usual, the Canadian is likely the one with the most logical solution
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#18 Postby Nimbus » Wed Sep 08, 2004 5:33 am

The other models should continue to trend left later today. Looking at the water vapor imagery it appears that the blocking high forecast to be in the gulf will get wedged further north.
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#19 Postby Travelgirl » Wed Sep 08, 2004 7:05 am

I don't understand why the other models are shifting more to the right towards Florida and the Canadian model steers Ivan to the Central gulf. :coaster:

Nervous in New Orleans
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#20 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 08, 2004 7:40 am

Oh boy... :eek:
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