"high octane gas for hurricanes" - talking about how the western Caribbean will be prime for further Ivan development with very warm SST's & a favorable upper-level environment.
Interesting that the NOGAPS, UKMET & GFS are all presently in fairly good agreement that Ivan will be picked up by the deepening trough - if I'm not mistaken, these models performed pretty well with Frances. These are more shorter range models & may not play out with so much of a northerly turn in the next few days. Well have to see. What's the consensus here? Not about the ultimate forecast track yet but about the strength, depth & timing of this trough?
Liked Forecaster Avila's Comments In 5 PM Discussion
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tropicstorm
- Tropical Storm

- Posts: 112
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 5:17 pm
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FungusMoldlyColdcuts
11pm discussion, with your friend Avila.
gfdl says west, who am i to disagree - Avila
5am
Meterology and climatology? What's that? -Avila
11pm
wait 3 hours for an actual discussion -Avila
5pm
maybe if i kick this damn super computer, the UKMet will will come into agreement with the GFDL -Avila
11pm
GFDL....THE END. - AVILA
gfdl says west, who am i to disagree - Avila
5am
Meterology and climatology? What's that? -Avila
11pm
wait 3 hours for an actual discussion -Avila
5pm
maybe if i kick this damn super computer, the UKMet will will come into agreement with the GFDL -Avila
11pm
GFDL....THE END. - AVILA
0 likes
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CFLCaneWatcher
- Tropical Depression

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