Florida *might* be out of Ivan's path

[Opal storm]

Still too early to say,but if it follows the track the NHC has,it will affect the Gulf coast and miss Florida.Although,like we saw with Charley and Frances,the track can change a lot.If you ask me,with how low it is and how fast it's going west,I think Mexico and the western Gulf coast(Texas) will see this one.

[Canelaw99]

Oh boy, let's not get this started yet....unfortunately, none of us on the Gulf Coast/SE US Coast are out of the woods yet....wish we were though...

[BayouVenteux]

Still too early to say,but if it follows the track the NHC has,it will affect the Gulf coast and miss Florida.Although,like we saw with Charley and Frances,the track can change a lot.If you ask me,with how low it is and how fast it's going west,I think Mexico and the western Gulf coast(Texas) will see this one.

I think your fellow citizens from Apalachee Bay on westward to Perdido Bay might take slight offense at that somewhat narrow definition of "Florida"

But with a name like "Opal storm", I'm sure you meant to say "the Florida Peninsula".

[Opal storm]

Still too early to say,but if it follows the track the NHC has,it will affect the Gulf coast and miss Florida.Although,like we saw with Charley and Frances,the track can change a lot.If you ask me,with how low it is and how fast it's going west,I think Mexico and the western Gulf coast(Texas) will see this one.

I think your fellow citizens from Apalachee Bay on westward to Perdido Bay might take slight offense at that somewhat narrow definition of "Florida"

But with a name like "Opal storm", I'm sure you meant to say "the Florida Peninsula".

Thanks for correcting me! Yes,the panhandle would be more at risk than the peninsula.

[wzrgirl1]

Actually they said that they did not think it would get past 82 W because of the blocking high and that it would make the turn it was just a matter of where. So although I don't wish this on anyone....no one is out of the woods yet.

[Dean4Storms]

The Florida Panhandle is very much at risk with this storm, moreso than TX. The trough forecasted to be in the central US come the weekend will extend down into the NW GOM (alot like the current trough) and could be enough to turn Ivan Northward. On the flip side, if the trough does not extend down into the GOM it may head for TX. We will have to wait and see which scenario plays out, but right now I'd lean toward the upper Gulf coast from NO eastward.

[dhweather]

Southeast LA over towards the FL panhandle is probably where this is headed, but that's a guess at this point in time.

[chris_fit]

I Totally disagree with you guys... MIGHHT be out of the woods? Have you seen the latest models?

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... _model.gif

[Canelaw99]

My point exactly, chris

[Opal storm]

Just giving my opinion

[Guest]

Still too early to say,but if it follows the track the NHC has,it will affect the Gulf coast and miss Florida.Although,like we saw with Charley and Frances,the track can change a lot.If you ask me,with how low it is and how fast it's going west,I think Mexico and the western Gulf coast(Texas) will see this one.

Too early to make that call Rock Dude.

[Guest]

Stranger things have happened

[Stormcenter]

Stranger things have happened

Am I reading correctly,1886?
Did they actually have satellite back then?

[Nimbus]

I just got my power back here on the west coast of Florida after being without for two days from Frances. Been trying to catch up with Ivan. Have the models early on been trending west with each forecast without consensus?

Ivan looks like he could be a scary storm with the high SST's in the gulf. large storms create their own environment as we saw with Frances so I don't know how much shearing effect a trough would have.