Monday September 6, 2004 11pm
Mike "Floydbuster" Naso
DISCLAIMER: USE NHC for OFFICAL INFO
Ivan is steady at 105 mph, but unfortunate for the islands... the pressure has dropped 6 millibars all evening to the current 963 mb.
I broke history in "my terms" with my 11am forecast track being RIGHT on holdwith the NHC track, expect mine was 12 hrs earlier. The link for that post is here: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=42422
Whatever the case, I am holding that track... and this 11pm track is just a little faster than the last and a tiny bit farter south.
The intensity should not be a BIG problem since it is no longer forecast to interact with land greatly. Therefore, I am stronger with the NHC... they would be too, but they are conservative with their forecasts.
NOTE: IVAN MAY EVENTUALLY END UP AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO....
12 HRS-- 12.2N-- 61.3W-- 105 kt
24 HRS-- 14.0N-- 66.5W-- 110 kt
36 HRS-- 15.1N-- 70.3W-- 120 kt
48 HRS-- 16.2N-- 75.0W-- 125 kt
72 HRS-- 18.3N-- 79.3W-- 130 kt
96 HRS-- 20.2N-- 83.0W-- 135 kt
120 HRS- 22.8N-- 85.0W-- 130 kt
