Ivan's Optical Illusion

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Valkhorn
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Ivan's Optical Illusion

#1 Postby Valkhorn » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:34 pm

OK. So which way is Ivan going?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

If you look at this loop, it looks like it's made two bobbles southwest. This could easily be an optical illusion from two bursts of convection wrapping counterclockwise around the center.

Either way, it looks really cool.

Comments, anyone?
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x-y-no
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:36 pm

I think it is an illusion, and the course is just about due west.
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#3 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:36 pm

Bob Breck, of Fox8 News in New Orleans, just reported that the storm is moving just to the South of West and is "zooming," right along. He thinks the system will go much further S and W of the present NHC track...
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dennis1x1

#4 Postby dennis1x1 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:38 pm

also...im not sure if the "eye" that popped up was really an eye....just lack of convection..it appears the center of circulation was always northwest of the "eye" feature....


either way.....latest forecast map is disconcerting in that if it becomes reality the land weakening buffer may be removed.
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#5 Postby Cookiely » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:39 pm

I can't tell you which way its going but the convection sure is wrapping around that little itty bitty eye.
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#6 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:42 pm

Its headed for GOM :eek:
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dennis1x1

#7 Postby dennis1x1 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:44 pm

current track looks that way........shifting south every run though...still hope that the yucatan will be in the way.
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#8 Postby Ixolib » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:49 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Bob Breck, of Fox8 News in New Orleans, just reported that the storm is moving just to the South of West and is "zooming," right along. He thinks the system will go much further S and W of the present NHC track...


Did our buddy Bob hazard a forecast (prediction?) for the GOMEX?
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