Place your bets!!!

Harbormaster · #21 Postby **Harbormaster** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:40 pm

100 bucks

No GOM, NO FLA, Hispanola and cuba and then dissipated. Tropical stoms don't count.

Please do NOT take me seriously!!!!!!!!!

SunnyThoughts · #22 Postby **SunnyThoughts** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:40 pm

Across the western tip of Cuba...Louisiana/mississippi border

weatherwoman · #23 Postby **weatherwoman** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:43 pm

north carolina cateret county its our trun

tdess02 · #24 Postby **tdess02** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:46 pm

Passes through the yucatan channel heading NW as a CAT 2, strengthens to CAT 4 then slams the Central Gulf coast from Lake Charles to Mouth of Miss. River.

Ixolib · #25 Postby **Ixolib** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:50 pm

Biloxi wrote:South of Hispaniola missing all major land masses before entering the
gulf just nnw of cuba. Then a path more nw to n stricking middle gulf coast between LA and Ms. If this happens we could see a storm stonger than David ( 79) and Gilbert. Project to maintain cat 3 status all through the Caribbean and then possibility for major intensification will exist once in the Gulf. Has the potential to be the worst storm to hit the coast since Camille.

As I was driving down highway 90 moments ago, I was thinking along the same lines. Imagine another Camille on today's Gulf Coast - :eek:

#26 Postby **Frank P** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:00 pm

After pummeling the Keys and extreme S Florida as the initial CONUS hit, Ivan picks up speed and intensity and heads towards the northern GOM... he will be steered by a relatively strong ridge that will not let her get to the Atlantic east coast, nor the west coast of Florida's GOM .....continuing on a nw course after entering the GOM, I'm leaning towards Ivan making a second landfall near New Orleans, only because they're overdue and it just a matter of time before they get a big one.... but I really like Mobile as being the primary second landfalling pick.... so I'll compromise.... the eye of Ivan go on shore between N'awlens (or 25 miles to the west) and Mobile (or 25 miles to the east)..... that's only about a 140-190 mile wide target zone....... considering how far away Ivan is that's about as good as I can get... and for the record I am not -removed-... I am in the middle of a huge outside renovation project on my house... and I certainly don't need any hurricane right now... so hopefully it hits over the Mobile area and I'm in the weaker west quadrant... or better yet it just goes west into Central America...

Intensity will be a strong Cat 3, could be another Betsy for NO and Fredrick for Mobile.... the eye will not go inland on the MS coast... hopefully...

overall confidence in this prediction is not to high I might add... . but what the heck... I predicted Frances to hit Kennedy Space Center (or areas south to WPB) over 11 days out... I just might get lucky again... so this is my prediction and I'm sticking to it.... won't be the first time I crashed and burned....

.... but don't start buying any plywood yet...and all you S Floridians, I'd keep that plywood up for another weekend just to be safe...

#27 Postby **Cookiely** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:26 pm

South Florida.

paulvogel · #28 Postby **paulvogel** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:30 pm

You proved my point!!! Look at where everybody who posts lives, and that, like a magnet, is where they think the hurricane will go!!!!

The carolinains think carolina, the TEXANS say texas, the floridians just say"I give up"

Its not a 100 percent, but I say there IS A BIAS!!!

krisj · #29 Postby **krisj** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:09 pm

No, no, no! I live in SC and I guessed Miami!

Harbormaster · #30 Postby **Harbormaster** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:11 pm

Beg to differ on that. I live in Southern New England. We will get the leftovers but we never get the main course! I will take it if you donate it, but I think that this will keep heading WNW until it hits a landmass (TX or LA)

Bye!

canegrl04 · #31 Postby **canegrl04** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:13 pm

Western Gulf .FLorida gets spared

FungusMoldlyColdcuts · #32 Postby **FungusMoldlyColdcuts** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:13 pm

cuba, criss cross florida, up the coast, outer banks, hello cape cod. can we say hurricane donna

wzrgirl1 · #33 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:28 pm

I say it will hit the keys as a cat. 1 and then skirt up the florida coast strenghening to a cat. 2 and hitting around Pensacola.

x-y-no · #34 Postby **x-y-no** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:31 pm

Louisiana via the vicinity of the Yucatan channel.

tampastorm · #35 Postby **tampastorm** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:31 pm

Whoever thinks Florida, do me a favor and LIE, say somewhere else! LOL

#36 Postby **tronbunny** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:34 pm

Florida gets a break, this time.

#37 Postby **Cookiely** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:35 pm

tampastorm wrote:Whoever thinks Florida, do me a favor and LIE, say somewhere else! LOL

I know so little that I figured if I said Florida we would be spared.

clueless newbie · #38 Postby **clueless newbie** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:42 pm

Through the Yucatan channel or western Cuba, sharp turn and into Tampa. They should not have won the Stanley Cup! Secondary landfalls at NC/Cape Cod/Canadian Maritimes possible .

opera ghost · #39 Postby **opera ghost** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:44 pm

paulvogel wrote:You proved my point!!! Look at where everybody who posts lives, and that, like a magnet, is where they think the hurricane will go!!!!

The carolinains think carolina, the TEXANS say texas, the floridians just say"I give up"

Its not a 100 percent, but I say there IS A BIAS!!!

Bah. I admitted there was a bias on mine. :lol:

Anything this far out is a guess regardless.... I guessed Miami with Francis... Tampa with Charley.

cajungal · #40 Postby **cajungal** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:49 pm

Cajungal prediction-takes a path similar to Lili in 2002. Crosses western Cuba, brushes the Yucatan, final landfall between Morgan City, and Houma, Louisiana.

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