New Ivan forecast... toward western Cuba and GOM

Derek Ortt · #1 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:36 pm

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl092004forecast.html

No track graphic this time, unless of course someone wants to do one for me

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:40 pm

I can't do a graphic, but I can tell everyone where the points are. :wink:

Initial: 11.3N 56.3W 100KT
12 Hour: 11.4N 60.0W 100KT-Just east of Trindad and Tobago
24 Hour: 11.6N 63.6W 100KT-WSW of Grenada, Northeast of Caracas
36 Hour: 11.8N 67.2W 100KT-Approaching ABC Islands, North of Caracas
48 Hour: 12.6N 70.3W 105KT-Near Aruba
72 Hour: 14.5N 76.0W 110KT-Southeast of Jamaica, South of Tip of Haiti(Way south)
USE WITH EXTREME CAUTION AS FOLLOWING IS SUBJECT TO LARGE ERROR
96 Hour: 17.5N 80.5W 120KT-South of Cayman Islands
120 Hour: 21.0N 85.0W 130KT(150 mph *faints*)-Near Western Cuba

Derek Ortt · #3 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:43 pm

actually, 120 hours is near W Cuba about 150 miles SW of Havana

B-Bear · #4 Postby **B-Bear** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:47 pm

Why do I get the impression that this is going to play out very poorly for some poor folks on the Gulf Coast.

rainstorm · #5 Postby **rainstorm** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:48 pm

headed to texas?

B-Bear · #6 Postby **B-Bear** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:49 pm

rainstorm wrote:headed to texas?

I would imagine that's going to depend upon what ridges and troughs are in the area when it gets to the Gulf.

Derek Ortt · #7 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:06 pm

pure speculation here and this is not an nwhhc forecast

should turn more northerly before it makes it to the lat of texas, probably louisiana and areas eastward, at this time based upon that nwhhc forecast track

#8 Postby **MGC** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:08 pm

Yep, the ridge to Ivan's north is building westard. Sorry but no NC landfall......MGC

B-Bear · #9 Postby **B-Bear** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:14 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:pure speculation here and this is not an nwhhc forecast

should turn more northerly before it makes it to the lat of texas, probably louisiana and areas eastward, at this time based upon that nwhhc forecast track

I was afraid you might say that. With everything else that's happened so far, let just throw a cat 4/5 hurricane towards New Orleans while we're at it to see what will happen.

Sheesh. What a year.

PTrackerLA · #10 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:19 pm

Looking more and more like this will be a GOM storm and not Florida (at least not an east coast of florida landfall).

cape_escape · #11 Postby **cape_escape** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:47 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:Looking more and more like this will be a GOM storm and not Florida (at least not an east coast of florida landfall).

We don't want it over here on the west coast either...we had Charley, that was enough!!! :cry:

New Ivan forecast... toward western Cuba and GOM

New Ivan forecast... toward western Cuba and GOM

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