NEW INVEST 98L for Cape Verde wave

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cycloneye
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NEW INVEST 98L for Cape Verde wave

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:06 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

This looks like it will be Ivan in comming days as it is well organized and it is at a low latitud to make it across the pond.
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#2 Postby Hyperstorm » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:11 pm

Latest satellite images indicate a POWERFUL little system. I'm even starting to see some banding already...

Image

Wow! Take a look at Ivan indeed...
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:12 pm

Yes it has the look already of a TD and I can say that this one will make it across the tropical atlantic toward the islands not be a fish.I am way too ahead but that is my hunch.
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#4 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:12 pm

Hopefully it will hold together this time, unlike our previous invest.
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:17 pm

From the TWO 5:30 PM:

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD.

It is a matter of time for this to be classified.
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#6 Postby Hyperstorm » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:19 pm

It looks quite likely that the first T-numbers this evening will show a 2.0. That's what it looks like right now. Also notice the rather south latitude it's at...10N. Not a good scenario if the current trough behind Frances continues moving westward...
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#7 Postby NJCane » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:23 pm

I know this one is way out, but it would most likely not be a threat to the east coast due to the big trough expected after September 10th in the east which will send below normal temps to the east. This could possibly be an island and gulf threat if it stays low enough in latitude. We are getting way ahead of the game though, should be interesting.
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#8 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:27 pm

The name Ivan scares me. Frances sounds so gentle and calm. :eek:
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:30 pm

Brent wrote:The name Ivan scares me. Frances sounds so gentle and calm. :eek:


Ivan was the name I said in the poll I made 4 months back that was going to be the big one. :)
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#10 Postby abajan » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:44 pm

Brent wrote:The name Ivan scares me. Frances sounds so gentle and calm. :eek:


That's because you're thinking of Ivan the Terrible!
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#11 Postby Wnghs2007 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:46 pm

this should most definatley be a tropical depression soon I believe.
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#12 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:49 pm

Looking at the Quickscats in the satelites it apepars to be already a strong tropcial depression. I think the upgrade will come at 11pm. But with hurricane Frances about ready to hit the nhc how are they going to issue Advisorys in the coming days?
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#13 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:51 pm

IVAN the terrible! :)
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#14 Postby TerryAlly » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:55 pm

UKMET
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.09.2004

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 9.1N 21.6W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

00UTC 02.09.2004 9.1N 21.6W WEAK

12UTC 02.09.2004 9.2N 24.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 03.09.2004 9.0N 26.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 03.09.2004 8.7N 30.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 04.09.2004 8.9N 31.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 04.09.2004 10.4N 33.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 05.09.2004 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
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Big_Steve

#15 Postby Big_Steve » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:12 pm

Question: The times at the top of each post on this board; I'm in the central time zone; (CDT); which time does this board recognize? Are these times EDT? GMT?


End Of Question
09/01/04
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