OMG...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
charleston_hugo_veteran
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1590
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:47 pm
Location: Charleston, S.C.

OMG...

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:47 pm

0 likes   

das8929

#2 Postby das8929 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:48 pm

Ah the ever so shifting BAMM. LoL
0 likes   

User avatar
opera ghost
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 909
Joined: Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:40 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#3 Postby opera ghost » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:49 pm

I want some of whatever the crazy models are smoking.....
0 likes   

User avatar
Bane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 690
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 3:06 pm
Location: Ogden, NC
Contact:

#4 Postby Bane » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:49 pm

Only 3 models hit Florida now. We shall see.
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#5 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:49 pm

Yep, the BAM's are getting out of their best latitude for performance.
0 likes   

TLHR

#6 Postby TLHR » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:50 pm

Half of the models go west, half of them go north.

Brain freezing up.
Must lie down...
0 likes   

krisj
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:39 pm
Location: Mt. Pleasant, SC

#7 Postby krisj » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:51 pm

Seems to me that from minute to minute they change. Guess no one REALLY knows where it will end up until it hits land. No wonder all these states are talking about evacuations.
0 likes   

User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#8 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:51 pm

Representation of Frances on crack :roll:
0 likes   

obxhurricane
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 178
Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2003 7:08 pm
Location: Outer Banks of North Carolina
Contact:

#9 Postby obxhurricane » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:51 pm

As a forecaster, my experience tells me when the BAMMS do what they have done today it usually means something...
0 likes   

hurricane_lover

#10 Postby hurricane_lover » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:52 pm

That orange calculation is spot imo.
0 likes   

PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:

#11 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:52 pm

obxhurricane wrote:As a forecaster, my experience tells me when the BAMMS do what they have done today it usually means something...


What, What??? LOL Don't tease us like that.
0 likes   

krisj
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:39 pm
Location: Mt. Pleasant, SC

#12 Postby krisj » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:53 pm

OKay, I am going to the store tomorrow and making my list tonight. And I really thought we were completely out of the woods.
Of course at 11pm everything will be south again.
0 likes   

User avatar
Rieyeuxs
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 189
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2004 8:52 pm
Location: Birmingham, AL

#13 Postby Rieyeuxs » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:54 pm

So why is the UKMET so out there on its own? It usually falls in line with the others. That's what worries me the most about this storm, the likelier models are holding "steady" in their runs. GFDL North, UKMET West...
0 likes   

TLHR

#14 Postby TLHR » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:56 pm

krisj wrote:OKay, I am going to the store tomorrow and making my list tonight. And I really thought we were completely out of the woods.
Of course at 11pm everything will be south again.


Welcome to our world....

:(
0 likes   

PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:

#15 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:58 pm

Rieyeuxs wrote:So why is the UKMET so out there on its own? It usually falls in line with the others. That's what worries me the most about this storm, the likelier models are holding "steady" in their runs. GFDL North, UKMET West...


It's not on it's own...the 12Z European (which many claim to be horrible w/ tropical storms) follows the UKMET almost to a T. It must be some European conspiracy to scare Floridians. Actually, the 12Z JMA (Japanese global model) is the furthest south (close to Eta) and takes it to the Gulf with a second landfall near Mobile.
0 likes   

Wannabewxman79
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 181
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 12:53 pm
Location: Riegelwood, NC (20 miles W of Wilmington)

#16 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:59 pm

it is kinda making a turn lately, now it has moved .3 and .4 since 5pm
0 likes   

krisj
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:39 pm
Location: Mt. Pleasant, SC

#17 Postby krisj » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:59 pm

lol, I'm learning fast. I guess the water can always keep for Sept., huh?
0 likes   

TLHR

#18 Postby TLHR » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:06 pm

0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#19 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:10 pm

Folks... this is a FLORIDA storm. It's blatantly obvious now. If anything, it's going to go SOUTH of where the NHC takes it.
0 likes   
#neversummer

TLHR

#20 Postby TLHR » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:12 pm

For my sake, I hope you're right.

But 4 out of 6 models saying SC??

Brain freezing again...
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022, Hypercane_Kyle, riapal and 287 guests