movement .3 North, .4 west the last 3 hours

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THead
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movement .3 North, .4 west the last 3 hours

#1 Postby THead » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:00 pm

Just reported by local met on channel 7 miami. Hmmm....sounds like almost NW.....maybe we will be spared after all in mia/ft laud. area.
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#2 Postby Bane » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:01 pm

Could be the turn they have been forecasting.
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#3 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:02 pm

In the 8'oclock advisory they're still calling it wnw.
...Jennifer...
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#4 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:02 pm

The storm has taken such a huge return wobble west that I'm forced to edit my recurve comment due to embarrassment...


Perhaps I can make it up a little by commenting that this arc around Caicos will keep them under hurricane winds longer...
Last edited by Sanibel on Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:37 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#5 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:02 pm

None of the models are forcasting south of Miami now and only 3 hit florida, 1 hits georgia, and 3 turn it up to north and south carolina.
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#6 Postby hial2 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:04 pm

Just a wobble...Looking at visible, you can easily see that Francis is now wobbling west..

The movement is still wnw...I dont see the forecasted NW turn anytime soon
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#7 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:04 pm

In the 8'oclock advisory they're still calling it wnw.
...Jennifer...


Technically it is moving just west of NW so it is still WNW. Also this just may be a jog too..........you never know.
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#8 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:04 pm

In the 8'oclock advisory they're still calling it wnw.
...Jennifer...


Technically it is moving just west of NW so it is still WNW. Also this just may be a jog too..........you never know.
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#9 Postby THead » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:04 pm

it is still technically wnw whoever it was that pointed that out, but it hasn't been gaining northward latitude at this speed for quite a while, if ever, that I recall.
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#10 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:41 pm

Wild swing back west! I don't like this! This is erractic behavior typical of a deviator!


One thing I was right about. The upper outflow taking a "box-shape" a few hours ago was an unknown effect I've personally identified for storms that are about to deviate...
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#11 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:43 pm

Probably island friction combined with wobble.


Still averaging WNW. Question is whether it is a straight track to the coast.

Caicos must have gotten raked by that core-wall...
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