NHC Verifying On Track

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#21 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:33 pm

Sanibel welcome to the best board of the net and glad that you are here.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#22 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:47 pm

Unknown Effect



If you look at the outflow pattern it has formed into a box-shape. This may mean absolutley nothing, but storms like Mitch that suddenly did an unexpected move have had this happen just prior to the move.

Perhaps it is as simple as an indication of the recurve?
0 likes   
Top
cebers01
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 44
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:14 pm

#23 Postby cebers01 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:50 pm

Seems some of the posts here from this morning are not proving out and we have a storm riding NORTH of Grand Turk, not south, or on it... Also, if the movement of the last couple hours verifies, the NW component of GFDL and GFS will begin to show up... Watch for some northerly changes to other models overnight... And now we are approaching a more reliable solution to models that were being extrapolated way further then they usually are built for... 72 hours is really about the best for GFS and associated runs, so let's see if the others move north, or if GFS turns south...
0 likes   
Top
kevin

#24 Postby kevin » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:54 pm

Definetely moving further north. Pretty soon people may say 'Is Frances a FISH?!' ;)
0 likes   
Top
Lebowsky

#25 Postby Lebowsky » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:07 pm

Well I am glad to see someone arguing the NHC is correct, all the "the NHC is on crack" comments were driving me crazy. This storm is stressful enough as things stand without having to consider that sort of thing.
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#26 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:40 pm

love your post sanibel and glad you are ok after Charlie.Read your commits on other sites. And by the way Brent you too... and where is Hurricanegirl ?she lives in jax. havenot seen her in several days on any sites ? Marilyn
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022, Hypercane_Kyle, riapal and 393 guests